Guadalajara vs. Atlas Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Guadalajara vs. Atlas at the Liga MX on April 19, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Guadalajara
1
:
1
Apr 20, 3:15AM Estadio Jalisco (Guadalajara)
Atlas
Apr 20, 3:15AM Estadio Jalisco (Guadalajara)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
AtlasATL
Score Summary
GuadalajaraGCH
U. Djurdjevic (35')
Soccer ball icon
H. Nervo (o.g.) (31')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ATL
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
GCH
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: C. Cowell replaces R. Alvarado
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: I. Brizuela replaces M. Gomez
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: P. Ramirez replaces J. Marquez
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: A. Gonzalez replaces H. Camberos
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: J. L. Guzman Rodriguez replaces J. Lozano
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: M. Coccaro replaces E. Aguirre
80'
Yellow Card
Matheus Doria (Atlas) cautioned
74'
Yellow Card
J. Lozano (Atlas) cautioned
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: F. Beltran replaces E. Gutierrez
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: Y. Padilla replaces T. Wilke
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: G. Del Prete replaces D. Gonzalez
67'
Yellow Card
R. Martinez (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
61'
Yellow Card
A. Rocha (Atlas) cautioned
54'
Yellow Card
T. Wilke (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
35'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atlas by U. Djurdjevic, assisted by D. Gonzalez
1-1
31'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by H. Nervo (o.g.)
1-0
22'
Yellow Card
M. Gomez (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
18'
Yellow Card
M. Chavez Garcia (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
13'
Yellow Card
J. Marquez (Atlas) cautioned
11'
Yellow Card
E. Gutierrez (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned

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Guadalajara vs. Atlas: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Guadalajara vs. Atlas prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Guadalajara vs. Atlas
  • Date: Saturday, April 19, 2025
  • Time: 11:15 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Jalisco
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Guadalajara +100, Atlas +300, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+100/-112)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Guadalajara: 44.3%
  • Atlas: 28.9%
  • Draw: 26.8%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Guadalajara 1-1 Atlas, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Guadalajara is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 44.3% probability, while Atlas sits at 28.9%, with the draw at 26.8%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Guadalajara vs. Atlas prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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