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Guadalajara vs. Mazatlan Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Guadalajara vs. Mazatlan Liga MX game on April 11, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIGA MX
Guadalajara
1
:
1
Apr 12, 3:05AM Estadio El Encanto (Mazatlán)
Mazatlan
Apr 12, 3:05AM Estadio El Encanto (Mazatlán)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
MazatlanMAZ
Score Summary
GuadalajaraGCH
L. Amarilla (pen.) (90')
T. Wilke (16')
L. Rey (83')
R. Rangel (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
MAZ
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
GCH
0.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityGuadalajaraMazatlanDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityGuadalajaraMazatlanHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
R. Rangel (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
90'
Red Card
R. Rangel (Guadalajara Chivas) sent off with a straight red card
90'
Goal scored for Mazatlan FC by L. Amarilla (pen.)
1-1
90'
Yellow Card
B. Colula (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
N. Benedetti (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
M. Chavez Garcia (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: D. Delgadillo replaces A. Pulido
86'
Yellow Card
R. Alvarado (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: F. Gonzalez replaces R. Alvarado
85'
Yellow Card
A. Pulido (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
83'
Red Card
L. Rey (Guadalajara Chivas) sent off for a second yellow card
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: S. Rodriguez replaces J. Diaz
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: A. Gonzalez replaces T. Wilke
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: G. Adame replaces R. Pizarro
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: F. Beltran replaces Y. Padilla
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: M. Lainez replaces O. F. Moreno Villegas
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: J. Sierra replaces J. Intriago
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: F. Almada replaces Samir Caetano
45'
Yellow Card
L. Rey (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
L. Amarilla (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
43'
Yellow Card
E. Gutierrez (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
36'
Yellow Card
Samir Caetano (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
16'
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by T. Wilke, assisted by R. Alvarado
1-0

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Guadalajara vs. Mazatlan: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Guadalajara vs. Mazatlan
  • Date: Friday, April 11, 2025
  • Time: 11:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio El Encanto

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Guadalajara +140, Mazatlan +230, Draw +215
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (+140/-186)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Guadalajara: 39.9%
  • Mazatlan: 30.1%
  • Draw: 30.0%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Guadalajara 1-0 Mazatlan, which has a correct score probability of 14%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Mazatlan a win probability of 30.1%, while Guadalajara has a win probability of 39.9%. The chance of a draw is 30.0%.

Summary

Our Guadalajara vs. Mazatlan predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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