Toluca vs. San Luis Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Toluca vs. San Luis in the World Cup on April 16, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
Start your FREE 3-day trial of Dimers Pro
FINAL
LIGA MX
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
LMX sport icon
LIGA MX
Toluca
1
0
Apr 17, 2AM Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramírez (San Luis Potosí)
San Luis
Apr 17, 2AM Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramírez (San Luis Potosí)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
San LuisASL
Score Summary
TolucaTOL
J. Gallardo (16')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ASL
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
TOL
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: R. Morales replaces Paulinho
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: B. Galdames replaces S. Salles-Lamonge
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. Angulo replaces F. Romero
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: H. Herrera replaces A. Vega
71'
Yellow Card
S. Salles-Lamonge (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. P. Dominguez Chonteco replaces Helinho
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: M. Klimowicz replaces D. Abitia
51'
Yellow Card
E. del Villar (Toluca) cautioned
16'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Toluca by J. Gallardo, assisted by A. Vega
1-0

Featured offers

Swipe iconSwipe across to view more offers
logo
RECOMMENDED
Deposit $20, Get $50 in Trading Bonus!
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
FEATURED
New DraftKings Customers: Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets Instantly
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
RECOMMENDED
Double Your Winnings on your Next 10 Wagers. Up to $25 Max Bet Per Boost
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
NEW PLAYERS
Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets if your bet wins!
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
LIMITED-TIME
Register with code DIMERS150 to unlock $150 in bonus bets by winning your first $10 bet
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
NEW PLAYERS
Get $350 in Bonus Bets Guaranteed - When You Bet $5 for 7 Days!
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
RECOMMENDED
Use Code DIMERS to Get up to $100 in Bonuses by Trading in Your First 7 Days!
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
TRENDING
Bet $10 Get $365 Win or Lose
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
NEW PLAYERS
Get Up To $250 Back in Bonus Bets If Your First Bet Loses
T&Cs apply.
How to claim

Toluca vs. San Luis: World Cup prediction & analysis

Dimers' Toluca vs. San Luis prediction is powered by a data-driven model built specifically for World Cup matches. The model projects how many goals each team is expected to score, then converts those projections into probabilities and picks across major betting markets.

Our coverage includes predictions, bets and odds for moneyline, over/under, double chance, both teams to score (BTTS), win to nil, and correct score.

The model factors in team attacking and defensive performance, recent form, opponent strength, tournament history, match location and expected player involvement to deliver consistent insights across every World Cup match.

Match overview

  • Teams: Toluca vs. San Luis
  • Date: Wednesday, April 16, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramírez
  • Tournament: FIFA World Cup

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Toluca -149, San Luis +400, draw +300

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Toluca: 58.4%
  • San Luis: 21.6%
  • Draw: 20.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' international soccer ratings system, designed to help bettors navigate World Cup predictions with greater confidence and clarity.

Correct score

The most likely correct score for this match is Toluca 2-1 San Luis.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction

Toluca is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 58.4%.

For full access to Dimers' World Cup best bets and to find out who will win the World Cup, unlock the complete experience with Dimers Pro.

Summary

Dimers' Toluca vs. San Luis prediction aims to turn World Cup chaos into clarity. Our coverage is grounded in repeatable logic, data-driven analysis, and consistent tournament-wide modeling—not headlines or hunches.

Bet responsibly and within your limits. For support, visit our responsible gambling resources.