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Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul at the Liga MX on April 5, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LIGA MX
Pumas UNAM
2
3
Apr 6, 3:10AM Estadio Cuauhtémoc (Puebla)
Cruz Azul
Apr 6, 3:10AM Estadio Cuauhtémoc (Puebla)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Cruz AzulCRA
Score Summary
Pumas UNAMUNAM
C. Rotondi (29')
Soccer ball icon
A. Montano (45')
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C. Rotondi (61')
Soccer ball icon
I. Pussetto (17')
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A. Carrasquilla (pen.) (81')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CRA
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
UNAM
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
83'
Yellow Card
(UNAM Pumas) cautioned
81'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by A. Carrasquilla (pen.)
2-3
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Sepulveda replaces A. Montano
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: I. Rivero replaces G. Giakoumakis
75'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: R. Ergas replaces J. Ruvalcaba
75'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: A. Avila replaces L. Suarez
72'
Yellow Card
G. Martinez (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
71'
Yellow Card
L. Romero (Cruz Azul) cautioned
66'
Yellow Card
G. Giakoumakis (Cruz Azul) cautioned
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: C. Vargas replaces C. Rotondi
63'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: P. A. Quispe Cordova replaces I. Pussetto
62'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: G. Martinez replaces R. Funes Mori
62'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: A. Carrasquilla replaces S. Trigos
61'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by C. Rotondi, assisted by G. Fernandez
1-3
50'
Yellow Card
J. Ruvalcaba (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: L. Romero replaces A. H. Gutierrez Torres
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: C. Rodriguez replaces C. Jimenez
45'
Penalty missed by Nathan Silva for UNAM Pumas
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by A. Montano
1-2
29'
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Goal scored for Cruz Azul by C. Rotondi
1-1
17'
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Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by I. Pussetto, assisted by P. Monroy
1-0
14'
Yellow Card
R. Funes Mori (UNAM Pumas) cautioned

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Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul
  • Date: Saturday, April 5, 2025
  • Time: 11:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio CuauhtĂ©moc
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Pumas UNAM +440, Cruz Azul -130, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+110/-132)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Pumas UNAM: 19.7%
  • Cruz Azul: 55.0%
  • Draw: 25.4%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Pumas UNAM 0-1 Cruz Azul, with a probability of 14%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Pumas UNAM is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 19.7% probability, while Cruz Azul sits at 55.0%, with the draw at 25.4%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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