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Pachuca vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pachuca vs. Toluca Liga MX game on March 29, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIVE
90'
LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Pachuca
2
:
3
Mar 29, 11PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
Toluca
Mar 29, 11PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TolucaTOL
Score Summary
PachucaPAC
J. Angulo (13')
J. Angulo (38')
A. Vega (45')
P. Lopez (o.g.) (63')
P. Pedraza (86')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
TOL
95.6%
Draw
4.3%
PAC
0.1%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityPachucaTolucaDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityPachucaTolucaHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
86'
Goal scored for Pachuca by P. Pedraza
2-3
83'
Yellow Card
V. Arteaga (Toluca) cautioned
63'
Goal scored for Pachuca by P. Lopez (o.g.)
1-3
55'
Yellow Card
P. Lopez (Toluca) cautioned
54'
Yellow Card
M. Ruiz (Toluca) cautioned
45'
Goal scored for Toluca by A. Vega, assisted by J. Gallardo
0-3
38'
Goal scored for Toluca by J. Angulo, assisted by J. Gallardo
0-2
13'
Goal scored for Toluca by J. Angulo, assisted by A. Vega
0-1
9'
Yellow Card
L. Rodriguez (Pachuca) cautioned

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Pachuca vs. Toluca: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Pachuca vs. Toluca
  • Date: Saturday, March 29, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Pachuca +340, Toluca -120, Draw +320

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Pachuca: 20.9%
  • Toluca: 58.4%
  • Draw: 20.6%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Pachuca 1-2 Toluca, which has a correct score probability of 10%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Toluca a win probability of 58.4%, while Pachuca has a win probability of 20.9%. The chance of a draw is 20.6%.

Summary

Our Pachuca vs. Toluca predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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