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Atlas vs. Mazatlan Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Atlas vs. Mazatlan at the Liga MX on March 28, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LIGA MX
Atlas
2
3
Mar 29, 3AM Estadio El Encanto (Mazatlán)
Mazatlan
Mar 29, 3AM Estadio El Encanto (Mazatlán)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
MazatlanMAZ
Score Summary
AtlasATL
N. Benedetti (28')
Soccer ball icon
L. Amarilla (32')
Soccer ball icon
S. Rodriguez (62')
Soccer ball icon
E. Aguirre (20')
Soccer ball icon
U. Djurdjevic (pen.) (37')
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M. E. Garcia (53')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
MAZ
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
ATL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
O. F. Moreno Villegas (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
A. Duarte (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: O. F. Moreno Villegas replaces N. Benedetti
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: A. A. Saavedra Nevarez replaces S. Rodriguez
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: P. Ramirez replaces J. Marquez
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: C. Orrantia replaces I. Dominguez
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: D. Gonzalez replaces E. Aguirre
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: J. Intriago replaces J. Sierra
62'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Mazatlan FC by S. Rodriguez
2-3
59'
Yellow Card
I. Dominguez (Atlas) cautioned
53'
Red Card
M. E. Garcia (Atlas) sent off with a straight red card
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: M. E. Garcia replaces J. Serrato
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: G. Adame replaces S. Godinez
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: Samir Caetano replaces C. Castro
45'
Yellow Card
J. Serrato (Atlas) cautioned
41'
Yellow Card
L. Merolla (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
37'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atlas by U. Djurdjevic (pen.)
2-2
32'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Mazatlan FC by L. Amarilla
1-2
28'
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Goal scored for Mazatlan FC by N. Benedetti
1-1
27'
Yellow Card
V. H. Rios De Alba (Atlas) cautioned
20'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atlas by E. Aguirre, assisted by U. Djurdjevic
1-0

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Atlas vs. Mazatlan: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Atlas vs. Mazatlan prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Atlas vs. Mazatlan
  • Date: Friday, March 28, 2025
  • Time: 11:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio El Encanto
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Atlas +180, Mazatlan +160, draw +210
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+130/-169)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Atlas: 34.4%
  • Mazatlan: 36.6%
  • Draw: 29.0%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Atlas 1-1 Mazatlan, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Atlas is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 34.4% probability, while Mazatlan sits at 36.6%, with the draw at 29.0%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Atlas vs. Mazatlan prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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