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Cruz Azul vs. Guadalajara Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Cruz Azul vs. Guadalajara at the Liga MX on March 29, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Cruz Azul
1
0
Mar 30, 3:05AM Estadio Jalisco (Guadalajara)
Guadalajara
Mar 30, 3:05AM Estadio Jalisco (Guadalajara)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
GuadalajaraGCH
Score Summary
Cruz AzulCRA
I. Rivero (45')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
GCH
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
CRA
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
T. Wilke (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
W. Ditta (Cruz Azul) cautioned
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Garcia replaces L. Faravelli
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: C. Jimenez replaces M. Bogusz
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: O. Campos replaces I. Rivero
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: A. Mozo replaces M. Gomez
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: T. Wilke replaces Chicharito
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: I. Brizuela replaces R. Alvarado
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: H. Camberos replaces V. Guzman
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: G. Fernandez replaces A. Sepulveda
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: B. Gamboa replaces L. Romero
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: E. Gutierrez replaces F. Beltran
63'
Yellow Card
M. Chavez Garcia (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by I. Rivero, assisted by L. Romero
1-0
45'
Yellow Card
G. Piovi (Cruz Azul) cautioned

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Cruz Azul vs. Guadalajara: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Cruz Azul vs. Guadalajara prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Cruz Azul vs. Guadalajara
  • Date: Saturday, March 29, 2025
  • Time: 11:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Jalisco
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Cruz Azul +145, Guadalajara +210, draw +230
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+130/-152)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Cruz Azul: 40.4%
  • Guadalajara: 31.7%
  • Draw: 27.9%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Cruz Azul 1-1 Guadalajara, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Cruz Azul is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 40.4% probability, while Guadalajara sits at 31.7%, with the draw at 27.9%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Cruz Azul vs. Guadalajara prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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