Cruz Azul vs. Mazatlan Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Cruz Azul vs. Mazatlan at the Liga MX on February 28, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LIGA MX
Cruz Azul
1
:
1
Mar 1, 3AM Estadio El Encanto (Mazatlán)
Mazatlan
Mar 1, 3AM Estadio El Encanto (Mazatlán)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
MazatlanMAZ
Score Summary
Cruz AzulCRA
N. Benedetti (pen.) (85')
Soccer ball icon
M. Bogusz (62')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
MAZ
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
CRA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: G. Adame replaces N. Benedetti
90'
Yellow Card
A. Duarte (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
A. Montano (Cruz Azul) cautioned
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: O. Campos replaces C. Rotondi
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: L. Romero replaces A. Sepulveda
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: G. Fernandez replaces G. Giakoumakis
85'
Yellow Card
I. Rivero (Cruz Azul) cautioned
85'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Mazatlan FC by N. Benedetti (pen.)
1-1
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: J. Esquivel replaces J. Intriago
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: A. Torres replaces B. Colula
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: S. Rodriguez replaces J. Diaz
72'
Yellow Card
L. Faravelli (Cruz Azul) cautioned
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Montano replaces C. Rodriguez
62'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by M. Bogusz
1-0
59'
Yellow Card
R. Pizarro (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
59'
Yellow Card
J. Orozco (Cruz Azul) cautioned
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: M. Lainez replaces Samir Caetano

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Cruz Azul vs. Mazatlan: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Cruz Azul vs. Mazatlan prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Cruz Azul vs. Mazatlan
  • Date: Friday, February 28, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio El Encanto
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Cruz Azul -145, Mazatlan +430, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+100/-130)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Cruz Azul: 53.6%
  • Mazatlan: 21.0%
  • Draw: 25.4%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Cruz Azul 1-0 Mazatlan, with a probability of 14%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Cruz Azul is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 53.6% probability, while Mazatlan sits at 21.0%, with the draw at 25.4%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Cruz Azul vs. Mazatlan prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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