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Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [5/24/2026]
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Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM in the World Cup on January 29, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
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FINAL
LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
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Jan 30, 3:05AM Estadio Olímpico Universitario (Ciudad de México (D.F.))
Jan 30, 3:05AM Estadio Olímpico Universitario (Ciudad de México (D.F.))
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
Score Summary
P. Bennevendo (61')
Nathan Silva (o.g.) (51')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: A. Rico replaces R. Lopez
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: S. Trigos replaces A. Carrasquilla
G. Martinez (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
Substitution for Toluca: I. Violante replaces A. Vega
Substitution for Toluca: H. Herrera replaces I. Lopez
I. Pussetto (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
Substitution for Toluca: Helinho replaces J. Angulo
Substitution for Toluca: R. Morales replaces B. A. Garcia Caprizo
A. Carrasquilla (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by P. Bennevendo, assisted by I. Pussetto
1-1
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: J. Ruvalcaba replaces U. Rivas
P. Bennevendo (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
Goal scored for Toluca by Nathan Silva (o.g.)
1-0
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: I. Pussetto replaces P. A. Quispe Cordova
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: P. Monroy replaces R. Ergas
A. Vega (Toluca) cautioned
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Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM: World Cup prediction & analysis
Dimers' Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM prediction is powered by a data-driven model built specifically for World Cup matches. The model projects how many goals each team is expected to score, then converts those projections into probabilities and picks across major betting markets.
Our coverage includes predictions, bets and odds for moneyline, over/under, double chance, both teams to score (BTTS), win to nil, and correct score.
The model factors in team attacking and defensive performance, recent form, opponent strength, tournament history, match location and expected player involvement to deliver consistent insights across every World Cup match.
Match overview
- Teams: Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM
- Date: Wednesday, January 29, 2025
- Time: 10:05 PM ET
- Venue: Estadio Olímpico Universitario
- Tournament: FIFA World Cup
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Toluca +185, Pumas UNAM +170, draw +245
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+105/-106)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Toluca: 34.9%
- Pumas UNAM: 38.7%
- Draw: 26.5%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' international soccer ratings system, designed to help bettors navigate World Cup predictions with greater confidence and clarity.
Correct score
The most likely correct score for this match is Toluca 1-1 Pumas UNAM.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction
Pumas UNAM is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 38.7%.
For full access to Dimers' World Cup best bets and to find out who will win the World Cup, unlock the complete experience with Dimers Pro.
Summary
Dimers' Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM prediction aims to turn World Cup chaos into clarity. Our coverage is grounded in repeatable logic, data-driven analysis, and consistent tournament-wide modeling—not headlines or hunches.
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