Cruz Azul vs. Necaxa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Cruz Azul vs. Necaxa at the Liga MX on January 28, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LIGA MX
Cruz Azul
3
1
Jan 29, 3:05AM Estadio Victoria (Aguascalientes)
Necaxa
Jan 29, 3:05AM Estadio Victoria (Aguascalientes)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
NecaxaNEC
Score Summary
Cruz AzulCRA
D. Cambindo (18')
Soccer ball icon
E. Lira (38')
Soccer ball icon
G. Giakoumakis (73')
Soccer ball icon
L. Faravelli (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
NEC
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
CRA
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by L. Faravelli
3-1
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: G. Fernandez replaces G. Giakoumakis
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: L. Faravelli replaces L. Romero
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: H. Jurado replaces A. Mayorga
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: T. Badaloni replaces D. Cambindo
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: A. Palma replaces D. De Buen
74'
Yellow Card
G. Giakoumakis (Cruz Azul) cautioned
73'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by G. Giakoumakis, assisted by A. Morales
2-1
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Morales replaces A. H. Gutierrez Torres
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: R. Monreal replaces P. Perez
45'
Yellow Card
J. Orozco (Cruz Azul) cautioned
38'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by E. Lira, assisted by A. H. Gutierrez Torres
1-1
30'
Yellow Card
E. Lira (Cruz Azul) cautioned
18'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Necaxa by D. Cambindo
0-1
13'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: E. Lara replaces K. Rosero

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Cruz Azul vs. Necaxa: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Cruz Azul vs. Necaxa prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Cruz Azul vs. Necaxa
  • Date: Tuesday, January 28, 2025
  • Time: 10:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Victoria
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Cruz Azul +120, Necaxa +240, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+105/-132)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Cruz Azul: 46.8%
  • Necaxa: 27.6%
  • Draw: 25.6%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Cruz Azul 1-1 Necaxa, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Cruz Azul is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 46.8% probability, while Necaxa sits at 27.6%, with the draw at 25.6%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Cruz Azul vs. Necaxa prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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