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Toluca vs. Mazatlan Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Toluca vs. Mazatlan Liga MX game on January 24, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Toluca
1
2
Jan 25, 3AM Estadio El Encanto (Mazatlán)
Mazatlan
Jan 25, 3AM Estadio El Encanto (Mazatlán)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
MazatlanMAZ
Score Summary
TolucaTOL
F. Almada (18')
L. Amarilla (76')
M. Ruiz (20')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
MAZ
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
TOL
0.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityTolucaMazatlanDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityTolucaMazatlanHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
83'
Yellow Card
A. Vega (Toluca) cautioned
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: L. Sanchez replaces J. Diaz
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. Angulo replaces J. Gallardo
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: I. Lopez replaces F. Romero
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: Samir Caetano replaces L. Merolla
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: J. Esquivel replaces B. Colula
76'
Goal scored for Mazatlan FC by L. Amarilla, assisted by J. Esquivel
1-2
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: O. F. Moreno Villegas replaces A. Duarte
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: R. Meraz replaces J. Sierra
59'
Yellow Card
L. Merolla (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: R. Morales replaces Paulinho
45'
Yellow Card
Helinho (Toluca) cautioned
44'
Yellow Card
F. Pereira (Toluca) cautioned
41'
Yellow Card
J. Gallardo (Toluca) cautioned
20'
Goal scored for Toluca by M. Ruiz, assisted by A. Vega
1-1
18'
Goal scored for Mazatlan FC by F. Almada, assisted by L. Amarilla
0-1

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Toluca vs. Mazatlan: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Toluca vs. Mazatlan
  • Date: Friday, January 24, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio El Encanto

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Toluca +120, Mazatlan +220, Draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-141/+110)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Toluca: 49.0%
  • Mazatlan: 26.3%
  • Draw: 24.7%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Toluca 1-1 Mazatlan, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Mazatlan a win probability of 26.3%, while Toluca has a win probability of 49.0%. The chance of a draw is 24.7%.

Summary

Our Toluca vs. Mazatlan predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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