Toluca vs. Mazatlan Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Toluca vs. Mazatlan in the World Cup on January 24, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
Start your FREE 3-Day trial of Dimers Pro
FINAL
LIGA MX
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
LMX sport icon
LIGA MX
Toluca
1
2
Jan 25, 3AM Estadio El Encanto (Mazatlán)
Mazatlan
Jan 25, 3AM Estadio El Encanto (Mazatlán)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
MazatlanMAZ
Score Summary
TolucaTOL
F. Almada (18')
Soccer ball icon
L. Amarilla (76')
Soccer ball icon
M. Ruiz (20')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
MAZ
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
TOL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
83'
Yellow Card
A. Vega (Toluca) cautioned
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: L. Sanchez replaces J. Diaz
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. Angulo replaces J. Gallardo
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: I. Lopez replaces F. Romero
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: Samir Caetano replaces L. Merolla
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: J. Esquivel replaces B. Colula
76'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Mazatlan FC by L. Amarilla, assisted by J. Esquivel
1-2
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: O. F. Moreno Villegas replaces A. Duarte
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: R. Meraz replaces J. Sierra
59'
Yellow Card
L. Merolla (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: R. Morales replaces Paulinho
45'
Yellow Card
Helinho (Toluca) cautioned
44'
Yellow Card
F. Pereira (Toluca) cautioned
41'
Yellow Card
J. Gallardo (Toluca) cautioned
20'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Toluca by M. Ruiz, assisted by A. Vega
1-1
18'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Mazatlan FC by F. Almada, assisted by L. Amarilla
0-1

Featured offers

Swipe iconSwipe across to view more offers
logo
FEATURED
New DraftKings Customers: Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets Instantly
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
RECOMMENDED
Double Your Winnings on your Next 10 Wagers. Up to $25 Max Bet Per Boost
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
NEW PLAYERS
Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets if your bet wins!
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
RECOMMENDED
Deposit $20, Get $50 in Trading Bonus!
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
LIMITED-TIME
Register with code DIMERS150 to unlock $150 in bonus bets by winning your first $10 bet
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
NEW PLAYERS
Get $350 in Bonus Bets Guaranteed - When You Bet $5 for 7 Days!
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
RECOMMENDED
Use Code DIMERS to Get up to $100 in Bonuses by Trading in Your First 7 Days!
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
TRENDING
Bet $10 Get $365 Win or Lose
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
NEW PLAYERS
Get Up To $250 Back in Bonus Bets If Your First Bet Loses
T&Cs apply.
How to claim

Toluca vs. Mazatlan: World Cup prediction & analysis

Dimers' Toluca vs. Mazatlan prediction is powered by a data-driven model built specifically for World Cup matches. The model projects how many goals each team is expected to score, then converts those projections into probabilities and picks across major betting markets.

Our coverage includes predictions, bets and odds for moneyline, over/under, double chance, both teams to score (BTTS), win to nil, and correct score.

The model factors in team attacking and defensive performance, recent form, opponent strength, tournament history, match location and expected player involvement to deliver consistent insights across every World Cup match.

Match overview

  • Teams: Toluca vs. Mazatlan
  • Date: Friday, January 24, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio El Encanto
  • Tournament: FIFA World Cup

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Toluca +120, Mazatlan +220, draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-141/+110)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Toluca: 49.0%
  • Mazatlan: 26.3%
  • Draw: 24.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' international soccer ratings system, designed to help bettors navigate World Cup predictions with greater confidence and clarity.

Correct score

The most likely correct score for this match is Toluca 1-1 Mazatlan.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction

Toluca is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 49.0%.

For full access to Dimers' World Cup best bets and to find out who will win the World Cup, unlock the complete experience with Dimers Pro.

Summary

Dimers' Toluca vs. Mazatlan prediction aims to turn World Cup chaos into clarity. Our coverage is grounded in repeatable logic, data-driven analysis, and consistent tournament-wide modeling—not headlines or hunches.

Bet responsibly and within your limits. For support, visit our responsible gambling resources.