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Guadalajara vs. Necaxa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Guadalajara vs. Necaxa Liga MX game on January 17, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIGA MX
Guadalajara
2
3
Jan 18, 3:05AM Estadio Victoria (Aguascalientes)
Necaxa
Jan 18, 3:05AM Estadio Victoria (Aguascalientes)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
NecaxaNEC
Score Summary
GuadalajaraGCH
P. Perez (63')
T. Badaloni (78')
R. Monreal (88')
G. Sepulveda (52')
R. Alvarado (pen.) (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
NEC
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
GCH
0.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityGuadalajaraNecaxaDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityGuadalajaraNecaxaHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
L. Romo (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: A. Andrade replaces I. Rodriguez
90'
Yellow Card
K. Rosero (Necaxa) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
(Necaxa) cautioned
90'
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by R. Alvarado (pen.)
2-3
88'
Goal scored for Necaxa by R. Monreal
1-3
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: R. Monreal replaces P. Perez
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: Y. Padilla replaces H. Camberos
78'
Goal scored for Necaxa by T. Badaloni, assisted by K. Rosero
1-2
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: T. Badaloni replaces D. Cambindo
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: A. Palma replaces A. Mayorga
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: L. Romo replaces M. Gomez
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: L. Rey replaces F. Beltran
63'
Goal scored for Necaxa by P. Perez, assisted by J. Paradela
1-1
58'
Yellow Card
E. Gutierrez (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
52'
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by G. Sepulveda
1-0
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: M. Gomez replaces D. Ochoa
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: R. Martinez replaces M. Chavez Garcia
45'
Yellow Card
A. Palavecino (Necaxa) cautioned
15'
Yellow Card
E. Lara (Necaxa) cautioned
11'
Yellow Card
D. Ochoa (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned

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Guadalajara vs. Necaxa: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Guadalajara vs. Necaxa
  • Date: Friday, January 17, 2025
  • Time: 10:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Victoria

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Guadalajara +170, Necaxa +165, Draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (+100/-125)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Guadalajara: 39.5%
  • Necaxa: 33.6%
  • Draw: 26.9%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Guadalajara 1-1 Necaxa, which has a correct score probability of 13%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Necaxa a win probability of 33.6%, while Guadalajara has a win probability of 39.5%. The chance of a draw is 26.9%.

Summary

Our Guadalajara vs. Necaxa predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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