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Cruz Azul vs. Pumas UNAM Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Cruz Azul vs. Pumas UNAM at the Liga MX on October 26, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Cruz Azul
2
0
Oct 27, 2AM Estadio Olímpico Universitario (Ciudad de México (D.F.))
Pumas UNAM
Oct 27, 2AM Estadio Olímpico Universitario (Ciudad de México (D.F.))
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Pumas UNAMUNAM
Score Summary
Cruz AzulCRA
A. Sepulveda (1')
Soccer ball icon
I. Rivero (12')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
UNAM
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
CRA
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Garcia replaces G. Fernandez
80'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: R. Lopez replaces U. Rivas
79'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: M. Rodriguez replaces P. A. Quispe Cordova
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Morales replaces A. H. Gutierrez Torres
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: C. Candido replaces C. Rotondi
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Montano replaces L. Romo
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: G. Fernandez replaces A. Sepulveda
51'
Yellow Card
Nathan Silva (U.N.A.M.- Pumas) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: I. Pussetto replaces A. Rico
46'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: R. Funes Mori replaces G. Martinez
35'
Yellow Card
A. Sepulveda (Cruz Azul) cautioned
34'
Yellow Card
W. Ditta (Cruz Azul) cautioned
29'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: J. Ruvalcaba replaces J. Caicedo
12'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by I. Rivero, assisted by C. Rodriguez
2-0
11'
Yellow Card
R. Duarte (U.N.A.M.- Pumas) cautioned
1'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by A. Sepulveda, assisted by C. Rotondi
1-0

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Cruz Azul vs. Pumas UNAM: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Cruz Azul vs. Pumas UNAM prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Cruz Azul vs. Pumas UNAM
  • Date: Saturday, October 26, 2024
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Olímpico Universitario
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Cruz Azul +135, Pumas UNAM +225, draw +220
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+120/-138)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Cruz Azul: 39.2%
  • Pumas UNAM: 33.8%
  • Draw: 27.0%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Cruz Azul 1-1 Pumas UNAM, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Cruz Azul is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 39.2% probability, while Pumas UNAM sits at 33.8%, with the draw at 27.0%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Cruz Azul vs. Pumas UNAM prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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