Puebla vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Puebla vs. Toluca in the World Cup on October 22, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
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Puebla
0
5
Oct 23, 3:05AM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
Toluca
Oct 23, 3:05AM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
TolucaTOL
Score Summary
PueblaPBL
F. Pereira (15')
Soccer ball icon
I. Violante (37')
Soccer ball icon
A. Vega (52')
Soccer ball icon
Paulinho (57')
Soccer ball icon
Paulinho (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
TOL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
PBL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Toluca by Paulinho
0-5
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: J. Rodriguez replaces B. Angulo
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: F. Amaya replaces M. Ruiz
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: D. Alvarez replaces L. Quinones
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: S. Ormeno replaces E. Gomez
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: E. del Villar replaces J. Angulo
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: V. Arteaga replaces C. Baeza
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: K. Castillo replaces A. Vega
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: J. R. Pachuca Martinez replaces D. De Buen
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: R. Castillo replaces A. Robles
57'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Toluca by Paulinho
0-4
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. P. Dominguez Chonteco replaces B. A. Garcia Caprizo
52'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Toluca by A. Vega
0-3
45'
Yellow Card
F. Pereira (Toluca) cautioned
37'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Toluca by I. Violante
0-2
29'
Yellow Card
Luan (Toluca) cautioned
24'
Penalty missed by Paulinho for Toluca
15'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Toluca by F. Pereira, assisted by J. Angulo
0-1

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Puebla vs. Toluca: World Cup prediction & analysis

Dimers' Puebla vs. Toluca prediction is powered by a data-driven model built specifically for World Cup matches. The model projects how many goals each team is expected to score, then converts those projections into probabilities and picks across major betting markets.

Our coverage includes predictions, bets and odds for moneyline, over/under, double chance, both teams to score (BTTS), win to nil, and correct score.

The model factors in team attacking and defensive performance, recent form, opponent strength, tournament history, match location and expected player involvement to deliver consistent insights across every World Cup match.

Match overview

  • Teams: Puebla vs. Toluca
  • Date: Tuesday, October 22, 2024
  • Time: 11:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez
  • Tournament: FIFA World Cup

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Puebla +800, Toluca -275, draw +475

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Puebla: 10.9%
  • Toluca: 73.4%
  • Draw: 15.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' international soccer ratings system, designed to help bettors navigate World Cup predictions with greater confidence and clarity.

Correct score

The most likely correct score for this match is Puebla 0-2 Toluca.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction

Toluca is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 73.4%.

For full access to Dimers' World Cup best bets and to find out who will win the World Cup, unlock the complete experience with Dimers Pro.

Summary

Dimers' Puebla vs. Toluca prediction aims to turn World Cup chaos into clarity. Our coverage is grounded in repeatable logic, data-driven analysis, and consistent tournament-wide modeling—not headlines or hunches.

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