Necaxa vs. Guadalajara Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Necaxa vs. Guadalajara at the Liga MX on October 22, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Necaxa
2
3
Oct 23, 1:05AM Estadio AKRON (Zapopan)
Guadalajara
Oct 23, 1:05AM Estadio AKRON (Zapopan)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
GuadalajaraGCH
Score Summary
NecaxaNEC
C. Cowell (50')
Soccer ball icon
R. Marin (56')
Soccer ball icon
V. Guzman (59')
Soccer ball icon
T. Badaloni (5')
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R. Monreal (79')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
GCH
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
NEC
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: I. Brizuela replaces R. Marin
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: P. Perez replaces F. Beltran
79'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Necaxa by R. Monreal
2-3
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: E. Martinez replaces D. Gomez
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: R. Cortez replaces D. Cambindo
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: F. Arce replaces J. Paradela
59'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by V. Guzman, assisted by Y. Padilla
1-3
56'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by R. Marin, assisted by Y. Padilla
1-2
53'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: R. Monreal replaces T. Badaloni
50'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by C. Cowell, assisted by M. Chavez Garcia
1-1
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: Y. Padilla replaces L. Rey
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: C. Cowell replaces O. Govea
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: A. Mayorga replaces Jesus Alcantar
9'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: V. Guzman replaces R. Alvarado
5'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Necaxa by T. Badaloni
1-0

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Necaxa vs. Guadalajara: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Necaxa vs. Guadalajara prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Necaxa vs. Guadalajara
  • Date: Tuesday, October 22, 2024
  • Time: 9:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio AKRON
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Necaxa +390, Guadalajara -130, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-110/-115)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Necaxa: 18.2%
  • Guadalajara: 58.5%
  • Draw: 23.3%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Necaxa 0-1 Guadalajara, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Necaxa is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 18.2% probability, while Guadalajara sits at 58.5%, with the draw at 23.3%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Necaxa vs. Guadalajara prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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