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Atlas vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for Atlas vs. Toluca in the World Cup on September 28, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
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FINAL
LIGA MX
FINAL
LIGA MX
1
4
Sep 28, 11PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
Sep 28, 11PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
Score Summary
Paulinho (33')
Helinho (40')
I. Violante (54')
I. Violante (61')
A. Rocha (78')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
H. Nervo (Atlas) cautioned
Substitution for Toluca: I. Lopez replaces Paulinho
Substitution for Atlas: C. Cruz replaces R. Fulgencio
Substitution for Atlas: U. Djurdjevic replaces E. Aguirre
Paulinho (Toluca) cautioned
Goal scored for Atlas by A. Rocha
1-4
Substitution for Toluca: J. Angulo replaces B. A. Garcia Caprizo
Substitution for Toluca: J. P. Dominguez Chonteco replaces A. Vega
Substitution for Atlas: V. H. Rios De Alba replaces J. Marquez
Substitution for Atlas: I. Larios replaces J. Lozano
Substitution for Toluca: K. Castillo replaces Helinho
Substitution for Toluca: V. Arteaga replaces M. Ruiz
B. A. Garcia Caprizo (Toluca) cautioned
Goal scored for Toluca by I. Violante, assisted by Paulinho
0-4
Goal scored for Toluca by I. Violante
0-3
Goal scored for Toluca by Helinho, assisted by Paulinho
0-2
Goal scored for Toluca by Paulinho
0-1
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Atlas vs. Toluca: World Cup prediction & analysis
Dimers' Atlas vs. Toluca prediction is powered by a data-driven model built specifically for World Cup matches. The model projects how many goals each team is expected to score, then converts those projections into probabilities and picks across major betting markets.
Our coverage includes predictions, bets and odds for moneyline, over/under, double chance, both teams to score (BTTS), win to nil, and correct score.
The model factors in team attacking and defensive performance, recent form, opponent strength, tournament history, match location and expected player involvement to deliver consistent insights across every World Cup match.
Match overview
- Teams: Atlas vs. Toluca
- Date: Saturday, September 28, 2024
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez
- Tournament: FIFA World Cup
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Atlas +500, Toluca -185, draw +320
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-140/+115)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Atlas: 14.0%
- Toluca: 66.8%
- Draw: 19.2%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' international soccer ratings system, designed to help bettors navigate World Cup predictions with greater confidence and clarity.
Correct score
The most likely correct score for this match is Atlas 0-2 Toluca.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction
Toluca is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 66.8%.
For full access to Dimers' World Cup best bets and to find out who will win the World Cup, unlock the complete experience with Dimers Pro.
Summary
Dimers' Atlas vs. Toluca prediction aims to turn World Cup chaos into clarity. Our coverage is grounded in repeatable logic, data-driven analysis, and consistent tournament-wide modeling—not headlines or hunches.
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