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Pumas UNAM vs. Necaxa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Pumas UNAM vs. Necaxa at the Liga MX on September 13, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LIGA MX
Pumas UNAM
0
2
Sep 14, 3AM Estadio Victoria (Aguascalientes)
Necaxa
Sep 14, 3AM Estadio Victoria (Aguascalientes)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
NecaxaNEC
Score Summary
Pumas UNAMUNAM
A. Palavecino (57')
Soccer ball icon
F. Arce (70')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
NEC
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
UNAM
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
E. Lara (Necaxa) cautioned
88'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: R. Lopez replaces J. Ruvalcaba
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: T. Badaloni replaces B. Garnica
84'
Yellow Card
J. Paradela (Necaxa) cautioned
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: R. Monreal replaces J. Paradela
82'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: R. Ergas replaces P. Bennevendo
82'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: A. Avila replaces I. Pussetto
77'
Yellow Card
P. A. Quispe Cordova (U.N.A.M.- Pumas) cautioned
77'
Yellow Card
G. Martinez (U.N.A.M.- Pumas) cautioned
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: K. Rosero replaces H. Jurado
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: D. Gomez replaces A. Palavecino
70'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Necaxa by F. Arce
0-2
62'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: G. Martinez replaces R. Funes Mori
62'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: P. A. Quispe Cordova replaces U. Rivas
57'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Necaxa by A. Palavecino, assisted by J. Paradela
0-1
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: E. Lara replaces E. Martinez
27'
Yellow Card
A. Montes (Necaxa) cautioned
13'
Yellow Card
L. Magallan (U.N.A.M.- Pumas) cautioned

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Pumas UNAM vs. Necaxa: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Pumas UNAM vs. Necaxa prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Pumas UNAM vs. Necaxa
  • Date: Friday, September 13, 2024
  • Time: 11:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Victoria
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Pumas UNAM +125, Necaxa +230, draw +225
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-105/-125)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Pumas UNAM: 40.8%
  • Necaxa: 33.9%
  • Draw: 25.3%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Pumas UNAM 1-1 Necaxa, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Pumas UNAM is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 40.8% probability, while Necaxa sits at 33.9%, with the draw at 25.3%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Pumas UNAM vs. Necaxa prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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