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Queretaro vs. Guadalajara Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Queretaro vs. Guadalajara at the Liga MX on April 20, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Queretaro
0
2
Apr 21, 1:05AM Estadio AKRON (Zapopan)
Guadalajara
Apr 21, 1:05AM Estadio AKRON (Zapopan)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
GuadalajaraGCH
Score Summary
QueretaroQUT
G. Sepulveda (54')
Soccer ball icon
R. Alvarado (89')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
GCH
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
QUT
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
J. Orozco (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
89'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by R. Alvarado
0-2
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Queretaro: E. Preciado replaces O. I. Mendoza Martin
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: L. Sepulveda replaces J. Castillo
77'
Yellow Card
E. Ayon (Queretaro) cautioned
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Queretaro: N. Cordero replaces F. Batista
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: V. Guzman replaces R. Marin
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: F. Gonzalez replaces P. Perez
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: J. Padilla replaces I. Brizuela
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Queretaro: J. Sierra replaces J. Gomez
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Queretaro: E. Ayon replaces Sosa Samuel
58'
Yellow Card
Sosa Samuel (Queretaro) cautioned
54'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by G. Sepulveda
0-1
43'
Yellow Card
F. Batista (Queretaro) cautioned
26'
Yellow Card
O. I. Mendoza Martin (Queretaro) cautioned
22'
Yellow Card
M. Barbieri (Queretaro) cautioned
4'
Yellow Card
A. Mozo (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned

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Queretaro vs. Guadalajara: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Queretaro vs. Guadalajara prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Queretaro vs. Guadalajara
  • Date: Saturday, April 20, 2024
  • Time: 9:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio AKRON
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Queretaro +490, Guadalajara -175, draw +330
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-130/+105)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Queretaro: 18.7%
  • Guadalajara: 57.8%
  • Draw: 23.5%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Queretaro 0-1 Guadalajara, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Queretaro is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 18.7% probability, while Guadalajara sits at 57.8%, with the draw at 23.5%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Queretaro vs. Guadalajara prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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