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Atlas vs. Cruz Azul Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Atlas vs. Cruz Azul at the Liga MX on April 21, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LIGA MX
Atlas
2
:
2
Apr 22, 12AM Estadio Ciudad de los Deportes (Ciudad de México (D.F.))
Cruz Azul
Apr 22, 12AM Estadio Ciudad de los Deportes (Ciudad de México (D.F.))
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Cruz AzulCRA
Score Summary
AtlasATL
I. Rivero (40')
Soccer ball icon
C. Candido (71')
Soccer ball icon
E. Aguirre (pen.) (13')
Soccer ball icon
J. Marquez (38')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CRA
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
ATL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Morales replaces L. Faravelli
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: A. Solari replaces R. Fulgencio
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: S. Alvarez replaces E. Aguirre
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: I. A. Larios replaces J. Marquez
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: A. Bass replaces J. Murillo
71'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by C. Candido, assisted by C. Rodriguez
2-2
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: R. Huescas replaces E. Lira
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: J. Zapata replaces M. E. Garcia
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: C. Candido replaces A. H. Gutierrez Torres
44'
Yellow Card
W. Ditta (Cruz Azul) cautioned
40'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by I. Rivero
2-1
38'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atlas by J. Marquez, assisted by M. E. Garcia
2-0
20'
Yellow Card
J. Murillo (Atlas) cautioned
13'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atlas by E. Aguirre (pen.)
1-0
11'
Yellow Card
K. Mier (Cruz Azul) cautioned

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Atlas vs. Cruz Azul: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Atlas vs. Cruz Azul prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Atlas vs. Cruz Azul
  • Date: Sunday, April 21, 2024
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Ciudad de los Deportes
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Atlas +750, Cruz Azul -265, draw +425
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-155/+125)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Atlas: 14.0%
  • Cruz Azul: 66.1%
  • Draw: 19.9%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Atlas 0-2 Cruz Azul, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Atlas is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 14.0% probability, while Cruz Azul sits at 66.1%, with the draw at 19.9%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Atlas vs. Cruz Azul prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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