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Toluca vs. San Luis Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Toluca vs. San Luis Liga MX game on April 19, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Toluca
5
1
Apr 20, 3AM Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramírez (San Luis Potosí)
San Luis
Apr 20, 3AM Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramírez (San Luis Potosí)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
San LuisASL
Score Summary
TolucaTOL
U. Bilbao (20')
A. Vega (13')
J. Angulo (30')
J. Meneses (52')
J. Meneses (58')
B. A. Garcia Caprizo (69')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ASL
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
TOL
100.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityTolucaSan LuisDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityTolucaSan LuisHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: M. Isais replaces B. A. Garcia Caprizo
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: R. Morales replaces A. Vega
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: J. Damm replaces D. Rodriguez
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: M. Klimowicz replaces Yan Phillipe
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: E. I. Lopez Rodriguez replaces J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: V. Arteaga replaces C. Baeza
69'
Goal scored for Toluca by B. A. Garcia Caprizo, assisted by A. Vega
5-1
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: M. Araujo replaces J. Meneses
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: J. Castro replaces Rodrigo Dourado
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: J. Villal replaces S. Salles Lamonge
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: A. Cruz replaces B. Galdames
58'
Goal scored for Toluca by J. Meneses, assisted by A. Vega
4-1
52'
Goal scored for Toluca by J. Meneses, assisted by F. Pereira
3-1
47'
Yellow Card
J. Escobar (Toluca) cautioned
47'
Yellow Card
U. Bilbao (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
C. Baeza (Toluca) cautioned
34'
Yellow Card
Rodrigo Dourado (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
33'
Yellow Card
Yan Phillipe (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
30'
Goal scored for Toluca by J. Angulo
2-1
20'
Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by U. Bilbao, assisted by J. Sanabria
1-1
13'
Goal scored for Toluca by A. Vega
1-0

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Toluca vs. San Luis: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Toluca vs. San Luis
  • Date: Friday, April 19, 2024
  • Time: 11:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramírez

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Toluca -120, San Luis +280, Draw +300

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Toluca: 52.4%
  • San Luis: 26.1%
  • Draw: 21.4%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Toluca 2-1 San Luis, which has a correct score probability of 9%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives San Luis a win probability of 26.1%, while Toluca has a win probability of 52.4%. The chance of a draw is 21.4%.

Summary

Our Toluca vs. San Luis predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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