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Toluca vs. San Luis Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Toluca vs. San Luis at the Liga MX on April 19, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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FINAL
LIGA MX
FINAL
LIGA MX
5
1
Apr 20, 3AM Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramírez (San Luis Potosí)
Apr 20, 3AM Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramírez (San Luis Potosí)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
U. Bilbao (20')
A. Vega (13')
J. Angulo (30')
J. Meneses (52')
J. Meneses (58')
B. A. Garcia Caprizo (69')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for Toluca: M. Isais replaces B. A. Garcia Caprizo
Substitution for Toluca: R. Morales replaces A. Vega
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: J. Damm replaces D. Rodriguez
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: M. Klimowicz replaces Yan Phillipe
Substitution for Toluca: E. I. Lopez Rodriguez replaces J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
Substitution for Toluca: V. Arteaga replaces C. Baeza
Goal scored for Toluca by B. A. Garcia Caprizo, assisted by A. Vega
5-1
Substitution for Toluca: M. Araujo replaces J. Meneses
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: J. Castro replaces Rodrigo Dourado
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: J. Villal replaces S. Salles Lamonge
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: A. Cruz replaces B. Galdames
Goal scored for Toluca by J. Meneses, assisted by A. Vega
4-1
Goal scored for Toluca by J. Meneses, assisted by F. Pereira
3-1
J. Escobar (Toluca) cautioned
U. Bilbao (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
C. Baeza (Toluca) cautioned
Rodrigo Dourado (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
Yan Phillipe (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
Goal scored for Toluca by J. Angulo
2-1
Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by U. Bilbao, assisted by J. Sanabria
1-1
Goal scored for Toluca by A. Vega
1-0
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Toluca vs. San Luis: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Toluca vs. San Luis prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Toluca vs. San Luis
- Date: Friday, April 19, 2024
- Time: 11:00 PM ET
- Venue: Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramírez
- Tournament: Liga MX
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Toluca -120, San Luis +280, draw +300
Dimers' win probabilities
- Toluca: 52.4%
- San Luis: 26.1%
- Draw: 21.4%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Toluca 2-1 San Luis, with a probability of 9%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Toluca is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 52.4% probability, while San Luis sits at 26.1%, with the draw at 21.4%.
For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Toluca vs. San Luis prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.
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