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Atlas vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Atlas vs. Toluca Liga MX game on April 7, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIGA MX
Atlas
1
4
Apr 7, 6PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
Toluca
Apr 7, 6PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TolucaTOL
Score Summary
AtlasATL
F. Pereira (5')
A. Vega (35')
J. Angulo (67')
E. I. Lopez Rodriguez (90')
J. Lozano (87')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
TOL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
ATL
0.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityAtlasTolucaDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityAtlasTolucaHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
90'
Goal scored for Toluca by E. I. Lopez Rodriguez, assisted by F. Pereira
1-4
87'
Goal scored for Atlas by J. Lozano, assisted by H. Nervo
1-3
85'
Yellow Card
J. Zapata (Atlas) cautioned
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: A. Mora replaces J. Escobar
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: J. Serrato replaces J. Murillo
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: C. Trejo replaces E. Aguirre
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: R. Morales replaces B. A. Garcia Caprizo
77'
Yellow Card
J. Murillo (Atlas) cautioned
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: I. A. Larios replaces M. E. Garcia
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: T. Belmonte replaces M. Ruiz
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: M. Araujo replaces J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
67'
Goal scored for Toluca by J. Angulo
0-3
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: E. I. Lopez Rodriguez replaces J. Meneses
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: J. Lozano replaces L. Reyes
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: J. Zapata replaces V. H. Rios De Alba
45'
Yellow Card
J. Marquez (Atlas) cautioned
35'
Goal scored for Toluca by A. Vega, assisted by J. Meneses
0-2
5'
Goal scored for Toluca by F. Pereira, assisted by B. A. Garcia Caprizo
0-1

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Atlas vs. Toluca: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Atlas vs. Toluca
  • Date: Sunday, April 7, 2024
  • Time: 2:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Atlas +550, Toluca -210, Draw +360
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-172/+130)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Atlas: 13.0%
  • Toluca: 68.9%
  • Draw: 18.1%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Atlas 0-2 Toluca, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Toluca a win probability of 68.9%, while Atlas has a win probability of 13.0%. The chance of a draw is 18.1%.

Summary

Our Atlas vs. Toluca predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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