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Guadalajara vs. Monterrey Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Guadalajara vs. Monterrey at the Liga MX on March 30, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LIGA MX
Guadalajara
2
0
Mar 31, 1AM Estadio BBVA (Guadalupe)
Monterrey
Mar 31, 1AM Estadio BBVA (Guadalupe)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
MonterreyMON
Score Summary
GuadalajaraGCH
G. Arteaga (45')
Red Card icon
J. Rodriguez (82')
Red Card icon
H. Moreno (o.g.) (72')
Soccer ball icon
R. Marin (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
MON
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
GCH
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by R. Marin, assisted by R. Alvarado
2-0
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: F. Gonzalez replaces F. Beltran
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: S. Vegas replaces G. Berterame
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: A. Briseno replaces J. Orozco
82'
Red Card
J. Rodriguez (Monterrey) sent off with a straight red card
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: J. Castillo replaces L. Sepulveda
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: J. Padilla replaces C. Cowell
72'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by H. Moreno (o.g.)
1-0
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: O. Govea replaces M. Meza
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: C. Cisneros replaces V. Guzman
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: B. Vazquez replaces S. Canales
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: J. Gallardo replaces A. Gonzalez
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: E. Aguirre replaces S. Medina
45'
Yellow Card
G. Arteaga (Monterrey) cautioned
45'
Red Card
G. Arteaga (Monterrey) sent off with a straight red card

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Guadalajara vs. Monterrey: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Guadalajara vs. Monterrey prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Guadalajara vs. Monterrey
  • Date: Saturday, March 30, 2024
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio BBVA
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Guadalajara +380, Monterrey -130, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-118/-115)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Guadalajara: 19.1%
  • Monterrey: 56.8%
  • Draw: 24.1%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Guadalajara 0-1 Monterrey, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Guadalajara is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 19.1% probability, while Monterrey sits at 56.8%, with the draw at 24.1%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Guadalajara vs. Monterrey prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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