Club Tijuana vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Club Tijuana vs. Toluca at the Liga MX on February 25, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Club Tijuana
0
2
Feb 25, 6PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
Toluca
Feb 25, 6PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TolucaTOL
Score Summary
Club TijuanaTIJ
J. P. Dominguez Chonteco (52')
Soccer ball icon
J. Meneses (63')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
TOL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
TIJ
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: V. Arteaga replaces T. Belmonte
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: M. Isais replaces A. Vega
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Club Tijuana: R. Fernandez replaces D. Barbosa
69'
Yellow Card
N. Diaz (Club Tijuana) cautioned
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: M. Araujo replaces J. Meneses
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: C. Baeza replaces M. Ruiz
63'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Toluca by J. Meneses, assisted by C. Orrantia
0-2
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Club Tijuana: J. Corona replaces F. Madrigal
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Club Tijuana: J. Zuniga replaces E. Armenta
60'
Yellow Card
A. Vega (Toluca) cautioned
52'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Toluca by J. P. Dominguez Chonteco, assisted by B. A. Garcia Caprizo
0-1
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. Angulo replaces E. I. Lopez Rodriguez
36'
Yellow Card
K. Castaneda (Club Tijuana) cautioned
28'
Substitution
Substitution for Club Tijuana: K. Castaneda replaces L. Rodriguez
16'
Yellow Card
T. Belmonte (Toluca) cautioned

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Club Tijuana vs. Toluca: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Club Tijuana vs. Toluca prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Club Tijuana vs. Toluca
  • Date: Sunday, February 25, 2024
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Club Tijuana +625, Toluca -215, draw +380
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-182/+130)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Club Tijuana: 15.7%
  • Toluca: 65.2%
  • Draw: 19.1%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Club Tijuana 1-2 Toluca, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Club Tijuana is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 15.7% probability, while Toluca sits at 65.2%, with the draw at 19.1%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Club Tijuana vs. Toluca prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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