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Puebla vs. Pumas UNAM Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Puebla vs. Pumas UNAM at the Liga MX on February 11, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LIGA MX
Puebla
0
3
Feb 11, 6PM Estadio Olímpico Universitario (Ciudad de México (D.F.))
Pumas UNAM
Feb 11, 6PM Estadio Olímpico Universitario (Ciudad de México (D.F.))
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Pumas UNAMUNAM
Score Summary
PueblaPBL
A. Avila (78')
Soccer ball icon
A. Avila (83')
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G. Martinez (90')
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B. Angulo (85')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
UNAM
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
PBL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for U.N.A.M.- Pumas by G. Martinez, assisted by L. Suarez
0-3
87'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: J. Galindo replaces P. Monroy
87'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: A. Aldrete replaces E. Salvio
85'
Red Card
B. Angulo (Puebla) sent off with a straight red card
83'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for U.N.A.M.- Pumas by A. Avila, assisted by L. Suarez
0-2
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: M. Barragan replaces K. Velasco
78'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for U.N.A.M.- Pumas by A. Avila
0-1
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: S. Ormeno replaces L. Cavallini
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: L. de los Santos replaces F. Navarro
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: D. Alvarez replaces G. Carabajal
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: L. Garcia replaces P. Villa
63'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: A. Avila replaces R. Ergas
63'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: C. Gutierrez replaces J. Rivas
53'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: L. Suarez replaces R. Lopez
44'
Yellow Card
G. Silva (Puebla) cautioned
36'
Yellow Card
K. Velasco (Puebla) cautioned

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Puebla vs. Pumas UNAM: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Puebla vs. Pumas UNAM prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Puebla vs. Pumas UNAM
  • Date: Sunday, February 11, 2024
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Olímpico Universitario
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Puebla +400, Pumas UNAM -150, draw +310
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-155/+122)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Puebla: 20.1%
  • Pumas UNAM: 58.9%
  • Draw: 21.1%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Puebla 1-2 Pumas UNAM, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Puebla is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 20.1% probability, while Pumas UNAM sits at 58.9%, with the draw at 21.1%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Puebla vs. Pumas UNAM prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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