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Guadalajara vs. Mazatlan Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Guadalajara vs. Mazatlan at the Liga MX on February 16, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LIGA MX
Guadalajara
2
:
2
Feb 17, 3AM Estadio El Encanto (Mazatlán)
Mazatlan
Feb 17, 3AM Estadio El Encanto (Mazatlán)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
MazatlanMAZ
Score Summary
GuadalajaraGCH
L. Amarilla (87')
Soccer ball icon
L. Amarilla (90')
Soccer ball icon
V. Guzman (pen.) (13')
Soccer ball icon
V. Guzman (56')
Soccer ball icon
J. Padilla (90')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
MAZ
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
GCH
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Red Card
J. Padilla (Guadalajara Chivas) sent off with a straight red card
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Mazatlan FC by L. Amarilla
2-2
87'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Mazatlan FC by L. Amarilla
2-1
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: I. Brizuela replaces R. Alvarado
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: J. Padilla replaces F. Beltran
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: J. Esquivel replaces A. Montano
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: B. Rubio replaces G. Del Prete
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: A. Torres replaces V. Guzman
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: A. Gonzalez Alba replaces R. Marin
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: J. Castillo replaces P. Perez
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: A. Medina replaces S. Flores
70'
Yellow Card
V. Guzman (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
56'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by V. Guzman
2-0
54'
Yellow Card
R. Marin (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
Y. Barcenas (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
44'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: A. Escoboza replaces E. Bello
13'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by V. Guzman (pen.)
1-0

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Guadalajara vs. Mazatlan: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Guadalajara vs. Mazatlan prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Guadalajara vs. Mazatlan
  • Date: Friday, February 16, 2024
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio El Encanto
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Guadalajara +100, Mazatlan +275, draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-116/-120)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Guadalajara: 45.9%
  • Mazatlan: 28.7%
  • Draw: 25.4%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Guadalajara 1-1 Mazatlan, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Guadalajara is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 45.9% probability, while Mazatlan sits at 28.7%, with the draw at 25.4%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Guadalajara vs. Mazatlan prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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