Mazatlan vs. Atlas Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Mazatlan vs. Atlas at the Liga MX on October 20, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Mazatlan
3
1
Oct 21, 1AM Estadio Jalisco (Guadalajara)
Atlas
Oct 21, 1AM Estadio Jalisco (Guadalajara)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
AtlasATL
Score Summary
MazatlanMAZ
J. Zapata (22')
Soccer ball icon
A. Rocha (90')
Red Card icon
A. Loba (12')
Soccer ball icon
A. Loba (32')
Soccer ball icon
J. Maduena (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ATL
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
MAZ
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Red Card
A. Rocha (Atlas) sent off for a second yellow card
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Mazatlan FC by J. Maduena
3-1
89'
Yellow Card
H. Gonzalez (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: R. E. Camacho Lastra replaces L. Amarilla
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: J. Maduena replaces Y. Barcenas
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: C. Trejo replaces J. Caicedo
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: J. Martinez replaces J. Zapata
67'
Yellow Card
H. Nervo (Atlas) cautioned
65'
Yellow Card
V. Alvarado (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: M. Manotas replaces A. Marquez
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: S. Flores replaces D. J. Colman Escobar
55'
Yellow Card
A. Rocha (Atlas) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: M. E. Garcia replaces J. L. Guzman Rodriguez
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: E. Bello replaces A. Loba
32'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Mazatlan FC by A. Loba
2-1
22'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atlas by J. Zapata
1-1
12'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Mazatlan FC by A. Loba, assisted by D. J. Colman Escobar
1-0

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Mazatlan vs. Atlas: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Mazatlan vs. Atlas prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Mazatlan vs. Atlas
  • Date: Friday, October 20, 2023
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Jalisco
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Mazatlan +440, Atlas -157, draw +310
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-140/+107)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Mazatlan: 15.0%
  • Atlas: 65.5%
  • Draw: 19.5%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Mazatlan 0-2 Atlas, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Mazatlan is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 15.0% probability, while Atlas sits at 65.5%, with the draw at 19.5%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Mazatlan vs. Atlas prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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