Tigres UANL vs. Mazatlan Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Tigres UANL vs. Mazatlan at the Liga MX on September 30, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Tigres UANL
3
2
Oct 1, 1:06AM Estadio de Mazatlán (Mazatlán)
Mazatlan
Oct 1, 1:06AM Estadio de Mazatlán (Mazatlán)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
MazatlanMAZ
Score Summary
Tigres UANLUANL
A. Loba (23')
Soccer ball icon
F. Venegas (89')
Soccer ball icon
D. Lainez (43')
Soccer ball icon
N. Ibanez (55')
Soccer ball icon
J. Herrera (65')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
MAZ
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
UANL
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
Y. Barcenas (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
R. Gutierrez (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
89'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Mazatlan FC by F. Venegas, assisted by L. Amarilla
3-2
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: O. F. Moreno Villegas replaces J. Maduena
77'
Substitution
Substitution for U.A.N.L.- Tigres: G. Pizarro replaces F. I. Ordonez Delgado
69'
Substitution
Substitution for U.A.N.L.- Tigres: M. Flores replaces R. Fulgencio
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: L. Amarilla replaces D. J. Colman Escobar
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: F. Venegas replaces J. Diaz
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: R. Arciga replaces S. Flores
65'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for U.A.N.L.- Tigres by J. Herrera, assisted by A. Gignac
3-1
64'
Substitution
Substitution for U.A.N.L.- Tigres: J. Herrera replaces D. Lainez
63'
Substitution
Substitution for U.A.N.L.- Tigres: A. Gignac replaces N. Ibanez
63'
Substitution
Substitution for U.A.N.L.- Tigres: L. Quinones replaces S. Cordova
58'
Yellow Card
J. Garza (U.A.N.L.- Tigres) cautioned
55'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for U.A.N.L.- Tigres by N. Ibanez, assisted by D. Lainez
2-1
45'
Yellow Card
D. Lainez (U.A.N.L.- Tigres) cautioned
45'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: E. Bello replaces N. Benedetti
43'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for U.A.N.L.- Tigres by D. Lainez, assisted by R. Carioca
1-1
38'
Yellow Card
J. Diaz (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
23'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Mazatlan FC by A. Loba, assisted by N. Benedetti
0-1
21'
Yellow Card
S. Cordova (U.A.N.L.- Tigres) cautioned

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Tigres UANL vs. Mazatlan: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Tigres UANL vs. Mazatlan prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Tigres UANL vs. Mazatlan
  • Date: Saturday, September 30, 2023
  • Time: 9:06 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de Mazatlán
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Tigres UANL -130, Mazatlan +330, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-132/+106)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Tigres UANL: 48.5%
  • Mazatlan: 26.2%
  • Draw: 25.3%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Tigres UANL 1-1 Mazatlan, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Tigres UANL is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 48.5% probability, while Mazatlan sits at 26.2%, with the draw at 25.3%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Tigres UANL vs. Mazatlan prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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