Atletico Madrid vs. Osasuna Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Atletico Madrid vs. Osasuna La Liga match on October 18, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Osasuna
0
1
Metropolitano Stadium
Atletico Madrid
Metropolitano Stadium
Atletico MadridATM
Score Summary
OsasunaOSA
T. Almada (69')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Atletico Madrid
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Osasuna
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    F. Boyomo (Osasuna) cautioned
  2. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Osasuna: S. Becker replaces V. Munoz
  3. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Osasuna: I. Munoz replaces J. Moncayola
  4. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: G. Raspadori replaces J. Alvarez
  5. 81'
    Yellow Card
    R. Garcia (Osasuna) cautioned
  6. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Osasuna: R. Garcia replaces J. Herrando
  7. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Osasuna: K. Barja replaces L. Torro
  8. 69'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by T. Almada, assisted by G. Simeone
    0-1
  9. 66'
    Yellow Card
    A. Catena (Osasuna) cautioned
  10. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Osasuna: M. Gomez replaces R. Garcia
  11. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: T. Almada replaces A. Baena
  12. 55'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Sorloth replaces A. Griezmann
  13. 54'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: C. Gallagher replaces Koke
  14. 43'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: G. Simeone replaces N. Gonzalez
  15. 41'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Osasuna: I. Benito replaces V. Rosier
  16. 30'
    Yellow Card
    Koke (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
  17. 9'
    VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside

Atletico Madrid vs. Osasuna: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Atletico Madrid vs. Osasuna
  • Date: Saturday, October 18, 2025
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Metropolitano Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Atletico Madrid -275, Osasuna +800, draw +420
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-138/+112)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Atletico Madrid: 64.9%
  • Osasuna: 13.8%
  • Draw: 21.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Atletico Madrid 1-0 Osasuna (13.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Atletico Madrid vs. Osasuna? Prediction & correct score

Atletico Madrid is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 64.9%.

The most likely correct score is Atletico Madrid 1-0 Osasuna.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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