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Atletico Madrid vs. Osasuna Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Atletico Madrid vs. Osasuna La Liga game on October 18, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Osasuna
0
1
Oct 18, 7PM Metropolitano Stadium
Atletico Madrid
Oct 18, 7PM Metropolitano Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Atletico MadridATM
Score Summary
OsasunaOSA
T. Almada (69')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ATM
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
OSA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
F. Boyomo (Osasuna) cautioned
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: S. Becker replaces V. Munoz
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: I. Munoz replaces J. Moncayola
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: G. Raspadori replaces J. Alvarez
81'
Yellow Card
R. Garcia (Osasuna) cautioned
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: R. Garcia replaces J. Herrando
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: K. Barja replaces L. Torro
69'
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by T. Almada, assisted by G. Simeone
0-1
66'
Yellow Card
A. Catena (Osasuna) cautioned
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: M. Gomez replaces R. Garcia
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: T. Almada replaces A. Baena
55'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Sorloth replaces A. Griezmann
54'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: C. Gallagher replaces Koke
43'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: G. Simeone replaces N. Gonzalez
41'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: I. Benito replaces V. Rosier
30'
Yellow Card
Koke (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
9'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside

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Atletico Madrid vs. Osasuna: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Atletico Madrid vs. Osasuna
  • Date: Saturday, October 18, 2025
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Metropolitano Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Atletico Madrid -275, Osasuna +800, Draw +420
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-138/+112)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Atletico Madrid: 64.9%
  • Osasuna: 13.8%
  • Draw: 21.3%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this La Liga game is Atletico Madrid 1-0 Osasuna, which has a correct score probability of 14%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Atletico Madrid a win probability of 64.9%, while Osasuna has a win probability of 13.8%. The chance of a draw is 21.3%.

Summary

Our Atletico Madrid vs. Osasuna predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert La Liga predictions and the best La Liga bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes La Liga futures, La Liga odds, and the latest La Liga news.

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