Sevilla vs. Barcelona Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Sevilla vs. Barcelona La Liga match on October 5, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Barcelona
1
4
Sevilla
SevillaSEV
Score Summary
BarcelonaFCB
A. Sanchez (pen.) (13')
Soccer ball icon
I. Romero (36')
Soccer ball icon
J. A. Carmona (90')
Soccer ball icon
A. Adams (90')
Soccer ball icon
M. Rashford (45')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Sevilla
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Barcelona
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Sevilla by J. A. Carmona, assisted by L. Agoume
    1-3
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: C. Ejuke replaces A. Sanchez
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    Peque (Sevilla) cautioned
  4. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Sevilla by A. Adams, assisted by C. Ejuke
    1-4
  5. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Barcelona: A. Christensen replaces F. de Jong
  6. 84'
    Yellow Card
    M. Rashford (Barcelona) cautioned
  7. 81'
    Yellow Card
    L. Agoume (Sevilla) cautioned
  8. 76'
    Penalty missed by R. Lewandowski for Barcelona
  9. 74'
    Yellow Card
    A. Januzaj (Sevilla) cautioned
  10. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: A. Januzaj replaces R. Vargas
  11. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: Peque replaces B. Mendy
  12. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Barcelona: R. Bardghji replaces F. Torres
  13. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: N. Gudelj replaces D. Sow
  14. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: A. Adams replaces I. Romero
  15. 50'
    Yellow Card
    I. Romero (Sevilla) cautioned
  16. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Barcelona: A. Balde replaces G. Martin
  17. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Barcelona: E. Garcia replaces R. Araujo
  18. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Barcelona by M. Rashford, assisted by Pedri
    1-2
  19. 38'
    Yellow Card
    F. de Jong (Barcelona) cautioned
  20. 36'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Sevilla by I. Romero, assisted by R. Vargas
    0-2
  21. 21'
    Yellow Card
    F. Torres (Barcelona) cautioned
  22. 20'
    Yellow Card
    Marcao (Sevilla) cautioned
  23. 16'
    Yellow Card
    G. Martin (Barcelona) cautioned
  24. 13'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Sevilla by A. Sanchez (pen.)
    0-1

Sevilla vs. Barcelona: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Sevilla vs. Barcelona
  • Date: Sunday, October 5, 2025
  • Time: 10:15 AM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Sevilla +480, Barcelona -195, draw +390

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Sevilla: 19.0%
  • Barcelona: 60.4%
  • Draw: 20.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Sevilla 1-2 Barcelona (9.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Sevilla vs. Barcelona? Prediction & correct score

Barcelona is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 60.4%.

The most likely correct score is Sevilla 1-2 Barcelona.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

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