Girona vs. Valencia Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Girona vs. Valencia La Liga match on October 4, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Valencia
1
2
Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
Girona
Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
GironaGIR
Score Summary
ValenciaVCF
V. Vanat (18')
Soccer ball icon
A. Martinez (63')
Soccer ball icon
I. Martin (80')
Red Card icon
D. Lopez (57')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Girona
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Valencia
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    A. Martinez (Girona) cautioned
  2. 84'
    Yellow Card
    Portu (Girona) cautioned
  3. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Girona: B. Gil replaces Portu
  4. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: D. Raba replaces D. Lopez
  5. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Girona: L. Kourouma replaces Y. Asprilla
  6. 80'
    Red Card
    I. Martin (Girona) sent off for a second yellow card
  7. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: L. Ramazani replaces T. Correia
  8. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: H. Duro replaces L. Beltran
  9. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Girona: C. Stuani replaces V. Vanat
  10. 63'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Girona by A. Martinez
    1-2
  11. 57'
    Yellow Card
    I. Martin (Girona) cautioned
  12. 57'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Valencia by D. Lopez, assisted by A. Danjuma
    1-1
  13. 55'
    Yellow Card
    L. Rioja (Valencia) cautioned
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: J. Guerra replaces B. Santamaria
  15. 45'
    Yellow Card
    Vitor Reis (Girona) cautioned
  16. 23'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Girona: H. Rincon replaces A. Frances
  17. 18'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Girona by V. Vanat
    0-1
  18. 6'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: J. Copete replaces M. Diakhaby

Girona vs. Valencia: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Girona vs. Valencia
  • Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
  • Time: 10:15 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Municipal de Montilivi

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Girona +135, Valencia +220, draw +230
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-104/-118)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Girona: 40.6%
  • Valencia: 33.1%
  • Draw: 26.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Girona 1-1 Valencia (12.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Girona vs. Valencia? Prediction & correct score

Girona is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 40.6%.

The most likely correct score is Girona 1-1 Valencia.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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