Athletic Bilbao vs. Mallorca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Athletic Bilbao vs. Mallorca La Liga match on October 4, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Mallorca
1
2
Oct 4, 12:30 PM ET
Athletic Bilbao
Oct 4, 12:30 PM ET
Athletic BilbaoBIL
Score Summary
MallorcaMCA
I. Williams (pen.) (9')
Soccer ball icon
A. Rego (82')
Soccer ball icon
Samu Costa (77')
Soccer ball icon
A. Sanchez (90')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Athletic Bilbao
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Mallorca
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
J. Areso (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
A. Sanchez (Mallorca) cautioned
90'
Red Card
A. Sanchez (Mallorca) sent off for a second yellow card
90'
Yellow Card
D. Vivian (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
L. Roman (Mallorca) cautioned
89'
Yellow Card
A. Raillo (Mallorca) cautioned
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Mallorca: M. Morey Bauza replaces J. Mojica
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Mallorca: T. Lato replaces P. Maffeo
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Mallorca: A. Sanchez replaces M. Morlanes
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: Izeta replaces R. Navarro
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: I. Lekue replaces I. Ruiz de Galarreta
82'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by A. Rego, assisted by J. Areso
1-2
77'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Mallorca by Samu Costa, assisted by M. Joseph
1-1
75'
Yellow Card
V. Muriqi (Mallorca) cautioned
68'
Yellow Card
J. Arrasate (Mallorca) cautioned
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Mallorca: M. Joseph replaces P. Torre
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Mallorca: J. Llabres replaces M. Domenech
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Rego replaces N. Serrano
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: M. Sannadi replaces G. Guruzeta
53'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: N. Williams replaces I. Williams
48'
Yellow Card
A. Laporte (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
S. Darder (Mallorca) cautioned
36'
Yellow Card
I. Ruiz de Galarreta (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
9'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by I. Williams (pen.)
0-1

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Athletic Bilbao vs. Mallorca: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Athletic Bilbao vs. Mallorca
  • Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Athletic Bilbao -160, Mallorca +550, draw +275
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+128/-158)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Athletic Bilbao: 57.3%
  • Mallorca: 17.4%
  • Draw: 25.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Mallorca (15.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs. Mallorca? Prediction & correct score

Athletic Bilbao is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 57.3%.

The most likely correct score is Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Mallorca.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Athletic Bilbao vs. Mallorca, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.