Alaves vs. Elche Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Alaves vs. Elche La Liga match on October 5, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Elche
1
3
Estadio Mendizorrotza
Alaves
Estadio Mendizorrotza
AlavesALA
Score Summary
ElcheELC
C. Vicente (pen.) (76')
Soccer ball icon
T. Martinez (81')
Soccer ball icon
L. Boye (90')
Soccer ball icon
D. Affengruber (79')
Red Card icon
Andre Silva (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Alaves
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Elche
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Elche by Andre Silva, assisted by G. Valera
    1-2
  2. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Alaves by L. Boye, assisted by C. Alena
    1-3
  3. 89'
    Yellow Card
    Jonny Otto (Alaves) cautioned
  4. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: A. Boayar replaces M. Neto
  5. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: L. Petrot replaces A. Rodriguez
  6. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: V. Parada replaces T. Martinez
  7. 81'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Alaves by T. Martinez, assisted by C. Alena
    0-2
  8. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: J. Donald replaces M. Aguado
  9. 79'
    Red Card
    D. Affengruber (Elche) sent off with a straight red card
  10. 76'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Alaves by C. Vicente (pen.)
    0-1
  11. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: D. Suarez replaces A. Blanco
  12. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: A. Guevara replaces P. Ibanez
  13. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: C. Alena replaces A. Rebbach
  14. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: Andre Silva replaces R. Mir
  15. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: M. Neto replaces G. Diangana
  16. 40'
    Yellow Card
    G. Diangana (Elche) cautioned
  17. 39'
    Yellow Card
    A. Blanco (Alaves) cautioned
  18. 37'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: C. Vicente replaces Calebe
  19. 28'
    Yellow Card
    J. Pacheco (Alaves) cautioned

Alaves vs. Elche: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Alaves vs. Elche
  • Date: Sunday, October 5, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Mendizorrotza

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Alaves +115, Elche +280, draw +195

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Alaves: 40.6%
  • Elche: 30.1%
  • Draw: 29.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Alaves 1-0 Elche (13.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Alaves vs. Elche? Prediction & correct score

Alaves is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 40.6%.

The most likely correct score is Alaves 1-0 Elche.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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