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Alaves vs. Elche Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Alaves vs. Elche La Liga game on October 5, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Elche
1
3
Oct 5, 12PM Estadio Mendizorrotza
Alaves
Oct 5, 12PM Estadio Mendizorrotza
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
AlavesALA
Score Summary
ElcheELC
C. Vicente (pen.) (76')
T. Martinez (81')
L. Boye (90')
D. Affengruber (79')
Andre Silva (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ALA
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
ELC
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Goal scored for Elche by Andre Silva, assisted by G. Valera
1-2
90'
Goal scored for Alaves by L. Boye, assisted by C. Alena
1-3
89'
Yellow Card
Jonny Otto (Alaves) cautioned
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Elche: A. Boayar replaces M. Neto
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Elche: L. Petrot replaces A. Rodriguez
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: V. Parada replaces T. Martinez
81'
Goal scored for Alaves by T. Martinez, assisted by C. Alena
0-2
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Elche: J. Donald replaces M. Aguado
79'
Red Card
D. Affengruber (Elche) sent off with a straight red card
76'
Goal scored for Alaves by C. Vicente (pen.)
0-1
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: D. Suarez replaces A. Blanco
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Guevara replaces P. Ibanez
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: C. Alena replaces A. Rebbach
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Elche: Andre Silva replaces R. Mir
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Elche: M. Neto replaces G. Diangana
40'
Yellow Card
G. Diangana (Elche) cautioned
39'
Yellow Card
A. Blanco (Alaves) cautioned
37'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: C. Vicente replaces Calebe
28'
Yellow Card
J. Pacheco (Alaves) cautioned

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Alaves vs. Elche: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Alaves vs. Elche
  • Date: Sunday, October 5, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Mendizorrotza

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Alaves +115, Elche +280, Draw +195

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Alaves: 40.6%
  • Elche: 30.1%
  • Draw: 29.3%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this La Liga game is Alaves 1-0 Elche, which has a correct score probability of 14%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Alaves a win probability of 40.6%, while Elche has a win probability of 30.1%. The chance of a draw is 29.3%.

Summary

Our Alaves vs. Elche predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert La Liga predictions and the best La Liga bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes La Liga futures, La Liga odds, and the latest La Liga news.

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