Elche vs. Celta Vigo Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Elche vs. Celta Vigo La Liga match on September 28, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Celta Vigo
1
2
Elche
ElcheELC
Score Summary
Celta VigoRCC
Andre Silva (18')
Soccer ball icon
J. Donald (68')
Soccer ball icon
B. Iglesias (22')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Elche
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Celta Vigo
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 85'
    Yellow Card
    M. Roman (Celta Vigo) cautioned
  2. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: M. Fernandez replaces M. Alonso
  3. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: G. Diangana replaces R. Mir
  4. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: M. Aguado replaces Josan
  5. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: I. Aspas replaces Y. Lago
  6. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: V. Chust replaces P. Bigas
  7. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: L. Petrot replaces A. Pedrosa
  8. 72'
    Yellow Card
    A. Pedrosa (Elche) cautioned
  9. 70'
    Yellow Card
    D. Affengruber (Elche) cautioned
  10. 68'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Elche by J. Donald
    1-2
  11. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: W. Swedberg replaces B. Zaragoza
  12. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: A. Rodriguez replaces Andre Silva
  13. 64'
    Yellow Card
    Josan (Elche) cautioned
  14. 57'
    Yellow Card
    Y. Lago (Celta Vigo) cautioned
  15. 54'
    Penalty missed by R. Mir for Elche
  16. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: J. Rueda replaces O. Mingueza
  17. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: J. Rodriguez replaces I. Moriba
  18. 22'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Celta Vigo by B. Iglesias, assisted by I. Moriba
    1-1
  19. 18'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Elche by Andre Silva, assisted by Josan
    0-1
  20. 17'
    Yellow Card
    O. Mingueza (Celta Vigo) cautioned

Elche vs. Celta Vigo: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Elche vs. Celta Vigo
  • Date: Sunday, September 28, 2025
  • Time: 10:15 AM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Elche +185, Celta Vigo +165, draw +220
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+115/-134)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Elche: 34.4%
  • Celta Vigo: 37.5%
  • Draw: 28.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Elche 1-1 Celta Vigo (13.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Elche vs. Celta Vigo? Prediction & correct score

Celta Vigo is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 37.5%.

The most likely correct score is Elche 1-1 Celta Vigo.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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