Villareal vs. Atletico Madrid prediction, odds, La Liga picks [5/24/2026]
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Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid La Liga match on September 27, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
LA LIGA
2
5
Sep 27, 10:15 AM ET Riyadh Air Metropolitano (Madrid)
Sep 27, 10:15 AM ET Riyadh Air Metropolitano (Madrid)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
Score Summary
R. Le Normand (14')
A. Sorloth (45')
J. Alvarez (pen.) (51')
J. Alvarez (63')
A. Griezmann (90')
K. Mbappe (25')
A. Guler (36')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
- Atletico Madrid
- Real Madrid
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Baena replaces G. Simeone
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: N. Molina replaces J. Alvarez
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by A. Griezmann, assisted by A. Baena
2-5
C. Gallagher (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
F. Mastantuono (Real Madrid) cautioned
Substitution for Real Madrid: F. Garcia replaces D. Huijsen
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: J. Galan replaces D. Hancko
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Griezmann replaces N. Gonzalez
G. Simeone (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
Substitution for Real Madrid: Rodrygo replaces J. Bellingham
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: C. Gallagher replaces A. Sorloth
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by J. Alvarez
2-4
A. Carreras (Real Madrid) cautioned
Substitution for Real Madrid: E. Camavinga replaces D. Carvajal
Substitution for Real Madrid: F. Mastantuono replaces A. Guler
R. Asencio (Real Madrid) cautioned
C. Lenglet (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by J. Alvarez (pen.)
2-3
A. Guler (Real Madrid) cautioned
Substitution for Real Madrid: R. Asencio replaces Eder Militao
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by A. Sorloth, assisted by Koke
2-2
VAR: Goal Disallowed - handball
N. Gonzalez (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
Goal scored for Real Madrid by A. Guler, assisted by Vinicius Junior
2-1
Goal scored for Real Madrid by K. Mbappe, assisted by A. Guler
1-1
A. Sorloth (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by R. Le Normand, assisted by G. Simeone
0-1
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Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid: Match prediction & analysis
Match overview
- Teams: Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid
- Date: Saturday, September 27, 2025
- Time: 10:15 AM ET
- Venue: Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Atletico Madrid +215, Real Madrid +125, draw +250
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-134/+114)
Dimers' win & correct score probabilities
- Atletico Madrid: 34.7%
- Real Madrid: 40.2%
- Draw: 25.0%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.
Most likely correct score: Atletico Madrid 1-1 Real Madrid (11.8%)
Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.
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- Moneyline probabilities
- Total goals probabilities
- Correct score probabilities
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Who will win Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid? Prediction & correct score
Real Madrid is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 40.2%.
The most likely correct score is Atletico Madrid 1-1 Real Madrid.
But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.
Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.
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