Athletic Bilbao vs. Girona Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Athletic Bilbao vs. Girona La Liga match on September 23, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Girona
1
:
1
Sep 23, 1:00 PM ET Estadio de San Mamés (Bilbao)
Athletic Bilbao
Sep 23, 1:00 PM ET Estadio de San Mamés (Bilbao)
Athletic BilbaoBIL
Score Summary
GironaGIR
M. Jauregizar (48')
Soccer ball icon
A. Ounahi (9')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Athletic Bilbao
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Girona
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
I. Martin (Girona) cautioned
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: C. Stuani replaces V. Vanat
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: L. Kourouma replaces H. Rincon
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: R. Navarro replaces O. Sancet
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: Y. Asprilla replaces J. E. Solis Romero
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: A. Martinez replaces B. Gil
68'
Yellow Card
A. Ounahi (Girona) cautioned
48'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by M. Jauregizar
1-1
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Berenguer replaces N. Serrano
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: Y. Berchiche replaces A. Boiro
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: I. Ruiz de Galarreta replaces M. Vesga
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: J. Areso replaces A. Gorosabel
33'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: Portu replaces D. van de Beek
9'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Girona by A. Ounahi, assisted by B. Gil
1-0

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Athletic Bilbao vs. Girona: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Athletic Bilbao vs. Girona
  • Date: Tuesday, September 23, 2025
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de San Mamés

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Athletic Bilbao -190, Girona +600, draw +350
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-115/-105)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Athletic Bilbao: 62.0%
  • Girona: 15.8%
  • Draw: 22.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Girona (13.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs. Girona? Prediction & correct score

Athletic Bilbao is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 62.0%.

The most likely correct score is Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Girona.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Athletic Bilbao vs. Girona, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.