Rayo Vallecano vs. Celta Vigo Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Rayo Vallecano vs. Celta Vigo La Liga match on September 21, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Celta Vigo
1
:
1
Estadio de Vallecas (Madrid)
Rayo Vallecano
Estadio de Vallecas (Madrid)
Rayo VallecanoRVC
Score Summary
Celta VigoRCC
J. de Frutos (65')
Soccer ball icon
B. Iglesias (49')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Rayo Vallecano
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Celta Vigo
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: S. Becerra replaces J. de Frutos
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: U. Lopez replaces P. Diaz
  3. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: C. Starfelt replaces M. Ristic
  4. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: F. Jutgla replaces B. Zaragoza
  5. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: I. Moriba replaces H. Sotelo
  6. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: I. Balliu replaces I. Palazon
  7. 65'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by J. de Frutos, assisted by A. Garcia
    1-1
  8. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: O. Mingueza replaces J. Rueda
  9. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: P. Duran replaces H. Alvarez
  10. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: P. Chavarria replaces Pacha
  11. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Alemao replaces S. Camello
  12. 55'
    Yellow Card
    J. Rueda (Celta Vigo) cautioned
  13. 49'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Celta Vigo by B. Iglesias, assisted by H. Alvarez
    1-0
  14. 40'
    Yellow Card
    I. Palazon (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned

Rayo Vallecano vs. Celta Vigo: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Rayo Vallecano vs. Celta Vigo
  • Date: Sunday, September 21, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de Vallecas

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Rayo Vallecano +105, Celta Vigo +270, draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-105/-115)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Rayo Vallecano: 39.4%
  • Celta Vigo: 33.6%
  • Draw: 27.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Celta Vigo (12.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs. Celta Vigo? Prediction & correct score

Rayo Vallecano is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 39.4%.

The most likely correct score is Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Celta Vigo.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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