Alaves vs. Sevilla Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Alaves vs. Sevilla La Liga match on September 20, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Sevilla
2
1
Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
Alaves
Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
AlavesALA
Score Summary
SevillaSEV
C. Vicente (pen.) (17')
Soccer ball icon
R. Vargas (10')
Soccer ball icon
A. Sanchez (67')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Alaves
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Sevilla
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    Peque (Sevilla) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    C. Azpilicueta (Sevilla) cautioned
  3. 89'
    Yellow Card
    A. Blanco (Alaves) cautioned
  4. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: J. Sanchez replaces J. A. Carmona
  5. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: Peque replaces I. Romero
  6. 85'
    Yellow Card
    O. Vlachodimos (Sevilla) cautioned
  7. 84'
    Yellow Card
    G. Suazo (Sevilla) cautioned
  8. 77'
    Yellow Card
    B. Mendy (Sevilla) cautioned
  9. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: N. Gudelj replaces T. Nianzou
  10. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: A. Adams replaces R. Vargas
  11. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: Yusi replaces M. Diarra
  12. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: A. Rebbach replaces D. Suarez
  13. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: M. Diaz replaces L. Boye
  14. 67'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Sevilla by A. Sanchez, assisted by J. A. Carmona
    2-1
  15. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: T. Martinez replaces J. Guridi
  16. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: P. Ibanez replaces C. Alena
  17. 44'
    Yellow Card
    T. Nianzou (Sevilla) cautioned
  18. 39'
    Yellow Card
    R. Vargas (Sevilla) cautioned
  19. 17'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Alaves by C. Vicente (pen.)
    1-1
  20. 14'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: A. Sanchez replaces A. Gonzalez
  21. 10'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Sevilla by R. Vargas
    1-0

Alaves vs. Sevilla: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Alaves vs. Sevilla
  • Date: Saturday, September 20, 2025
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de Mendizorroza

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Alaves +145, Sevilla +240, draw +205
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+145/-200)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Alaves: 38.7%
  • Sevilla: 33.2%
  • Draw: 28.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Alaves 1-1 Sevilla (13.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Alaves vs. Sevilla? Prediction & correct score

Alaves is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 38.7%.

The most likely correct score is Alaves 1-1 Sevilla.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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