Villareal vs. Atletico Madrid prediction, odds, La Liga picks [5/24/2026]
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Real Sociedad vs. Real Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Real Sociedad vs. Real Madrid La Liga match on September 13, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
LA LIGA
2
1
Sep 13, 10:15 AM ET Estadio Municipal de Anoeta (Donostia-San Sebastián)
Sep 13, 10:15 AM ET Estadio Municipal de Anoeta (Donostia-San Sebastián)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
Score Summary
M. Oyarzabal (pen.) (56')
K. Mbappe (12')
D. Huijsen (32')
A. Guler (44')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
- Real Sociedad
- Real Madrid
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for Real Madrid: D. Alaba replaces A. Guler
Substitution for Real Madrid: T. Alexander-Arnold replaces D. Carvajal
Substitution for Real Sociedad: J. Karrikaburu replaces J. Gorrotxategi
Substitution for Real Madrid: F. Garcia replaces Vinicius Junior
Substitution for Real Madrid: R. Asencio replaces D. Ceballos
Substitution for Real Sociedad: T. Kubo replaces P. Marin
Substitution for Real Sociedad: A. Zakharyan replaces G. Guedes
K. Mbappe (Real Madrid) cautioned
Substitution for Real Sociedad: J. Aramburu replaces A. Elustondo
Substitution for Real Sociedad: C. Soler replaces M. Goti Lopez
Goal scored for Real Sociedad by M. Oyarzabal (pen.)
2-1
Substitution for Real Madrid: F. Valverde replaces B. Diaz
A. Barrenetxea (Real Sociedad) cautioned
Goal scored for Real Madrid by A. Guler, assisted by K. Mbappe
2-0
X. Alonso (Real Madrid) cautioned
D. Huijsen (Real Madrid) sent off with a straight red card
Goal scored for Real Madrid by K. Mbappe
1-0
I. Zubeldia (Real Sociedad) cautioned
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
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Real Sociedad vs. Real Madrid: Match prediction & analysis
Match overview
- Teams: Real Sociedad vs. Real Madrid
- Date: Saturday, September 13, 2025
- Time: 10:15 AM ET
- Venue: Estadio Municipal de Anoeta
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Real Sociedad +500, Real Madrid -170, draw +335
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-148/+126)
Dimers' win & correct score probabilities
- Real Sociedad: 21.0%
- Real Madrid: 56.1%
- Draw: 22.9%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.
Most likely correct score: Real Sociedad 1-1 Real Madrid (10.8%)
Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.
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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.
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- Moneyline probabilities
- Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Real Sociedad vs. Real Madrid? Prediction & correct score
Real Madrid is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 56.1%.
The most likely correct score is Real Sociedad 1-1 Real Madrid.
But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.
Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.
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