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Real Sociedad vs. Real Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Real Sociedad vs. Real Madrid La Liga game on September 13, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Real Madrid
2
1
Sep 13, 2:15PM Estadio Municipal de Anoeta (Donostia-San Sebastián)
Real Sociedad
Sep 13, 2:15PM Estadio Municipal de Anoeta (Donostia-San Sebastián)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Real SociedadRSO
Score Summary
Real MadridRMA
M. Oyarzabal (pen.) (56')
K. Mbappe (12')
D. Huijsen (32')
A. Guler (44')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
RSO
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
RMA
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: D. Alaba replaces A. Guler
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: T. Alexander-Arnold replaces D. Carvajal
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: J. Karrikaburu replaces J. Gorrotxategi
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: F. Garcia replaces Vinicius Junior
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: R. Asencio replaces D. Ceballos
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: T. Kubo replaces P. Marin
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: A. Zakharyan replaces G. Guedes
63'
Yellow Card
K. Mbappe (Real Madrid) cautioned
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: J. Aramburu replaces A. Elustondo
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: C. Soler replaces M. Goti Lopez
56'
Goal scored for Real Sociedad by M. Oyarzabal (pen.)
2-1
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: F. Valverde replaces B. Diaz
45'
Yellow Card
A. Barrenetxea (Real Sociedad) cautioned
44'
Goal scored for Real Madrid by A. Guler, assisted by K. Mbappe
2-0
34'
Yellow Card
X. Alonso (Real Madrid) cautioned
32'
Red Card
D. Huijsen (Real Madrid) sent off with a straight red card
12'
Goal scored for Real Madrid by K. Mbappe
1-0
6'
Yellow Card
I. Zubeldia (Real Sociedad) cautioned
2'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside

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Real Sociedad vs. Real Madrid: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Real Sociedad vs. Real Madrid
  • Date: Saturday, September 13, 2025
  • Time: 10:15 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Municipal de Anoeta

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Real Sociedad +500, Real Madrid -170, Draw +335
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-148/+126)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Real Sociedad: 21.0%
  • Real Madrid: 56.1%
  • Draw: 22.9%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this La Liga game is Real Sociedad 1-1 Real Madrid, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Real Sociedad a win probability of 21.0%, while Real Madrid has a win probability of 56.1%. The chance of a draw is 22.9%.

Summary

Our Real Sociedad vs. Real Madrid predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert La Liga predictions and the best La Liga bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes La Liga futures, La Liga odds, and the latest La Liga news.

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