Real Sociedad vs. Real Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Real Sociedad vs. Real Madrid La Liga match on September 13, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Real Madrid
2
1
Estadio Municipal de Anoeta (Donostia-San Sebastián)
Real Sociedad
Estadio Municipal de Anoeta (Donostia-San Sebastián)
Real SociedadRSO
Score Summary
Real MadridRMA
M. Oyarzabal (pen.) (56')
Soccer ball icon
K. Mbappe (12')
Soccer ball icon
D. Huijsen (32')
Red Card icon
A. Guler (44')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Real Sociedad
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Real Madrid
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: D. Alaba replaces A. Guler
  2. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: T. Alexander-Arnold replaces D. Carvajal
  3. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: J. Karrikaburu replaces J. Gorrotxategi
  4. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: F. Garcia replaces Vinicius Junior
  5. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: R. Asencio replaces D. Ceballos
  6. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: T. Kubo replaces P. Marin
  7. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: A. Zakharyan replaces G. Guedes
  8. 63'
    Yellow Card
    K. Mbappe (Real Madrid) cautioned
  9. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: J. Aramburu replaces A. Elustondo
  10. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: C. Soler replaces M. Goti Lopez
  11. 56'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Sociedad by M. Oyarzabal (pen.)
    2-1
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: F. Valverde replaces B. Diaz
  13. 45'
    Yellow Card
    A. Barrenetxea (Real Sociedad) cautioned
  14. 44'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Madrid by A. Guler, assisted by K. Mbappe
    2-0
  15. 34'
    Yellow Card
    X. Alonso (Real Madrid) cautioned
  16. 32'
    Red Card
    D. Huijsen (Real Madrid) sent off with a straight red card
  17. 12'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Madrid by K. Mbappe
    1-0
  18. 6'
    Yellow Card
    I. Zubeldia (Real Sociedad) cautioned
  19. 2'
    VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside

Real Sociedad vs. Real Madrid: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Real Sociedad vs. Real Madrid
  • Date: Saturday, September 13, 2025
  • Time: 10:15 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Municipal de Anoeta

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Real Sociedad +500, Real Madrid -170, draw +335
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-148/+126)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Real Sociedad: 21.0%
  • Real Madrid: 56.1%
  • Draw: 22.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Real Sociedad 1-1 Real Madrid (10.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Real Sociedad vs. Real Madrid? Prediction & correct score

Real Madrid is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 56.1%.

The most likely correct score is Real Sociedad 1-1 Real Madrid.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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