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Atletico Madrid vs. Villareal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Atletico Madrid vs. Villareal La Liga game on September 13, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Villareal
0
2
Sep 13, 7PM Riyadh Air Metropolitano (Madrid)
Atletico Madrid
Sep 13, 7PM Riyadh Air Metropolitano (Madrid)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Atletico MadridATM
Score Summary
VillarealVIL
P. Barrios (9')
N. Gonzalez (52')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ATM
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
VIL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
A. Pedraza (Villarreal) cautioned
84'
Yellow Card
S. Mourino (Villarreal) cautioned
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: J. Galan replaces D. Hancko
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: A. Pedraza replaces S. Cardona
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: T. Oluwaseyi replaces G. Mikautadze
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: M. Pubill replaces R. Le Normand
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: C. Gallagher replaces N. Gonzalez
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: D. Hancko replaces M. Ruggeri
73'
Yellow Card
M. Ruggeri (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
65'
Yellow Card
R. Veiga (Villarreal) cautioned
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: A. Perez replaces N. Pepe
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: S. Comesana replaces A. Moleiro
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: P. Gueye replaces T. Partey
52'
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by N. Gonzalez, assisted by M. Llorente
0-2
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Sorloth replaces J. Alvarez
32'
Yellow Card
J. Alvarez (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
24'
Yellow Card
D. Parejo (Villarreal) cautioned
9'
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by P. Barrios, assisted by J. Alvarez
0-1

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Atletico Madrid vs. Villareal: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Atletico Madrid vs. Villareal
  • Date: Saturday, September 13, 2025
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Atletico Madrid -125, Villareal +360, Draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-135/+115)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Atletico Madrid: 53.6%
  • Villareal: 23.0%
  • Draw: 23.3%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this La Liga game is Atletico Madrid 1-1 Villareal, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Atletico Madrid a win probability of 53.6%, while Villareal has a win probability of 23.0%. The chance of a draw is 23.3%.

Summary

Our Atletico Madrid vs. Villareal predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert La Liga predictions and the best La Liga bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes La Liga futures, La Liga odds, and the latest La Liga news.

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