Real Sociedad vs. Valencia Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Real Sociedad vs. Valencia La Liga match on May 17, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Valencia
4
3
Anoeta
Real Sociedad
Anoeta
Real SociedadRSO
Score Summary
ValenciaVCF
A. Munoz (3')
Soccer ball icon
C. Tarrega (o.g.) (60')
Soccer ball icon
O. Oskarsson (63')
Soccer ball icon
J. Guerra (8')
Soccer ball icon
H. Duro (22')
Soccer ball icon
E. Comert (70')
Red Card icon
G. Rodriguez (89')
Soccer ball icon
J. Guerra (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Real Sociedad
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Valencia
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Valencia by J. Guerra, assisted by T. Rendall
    4-3
  2. 89'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Valencia by G. Rodriguez, assisted by A. Almeida
    3-3
  3. 88'
    Yellow Card
    I. Zubeldia (Real Sociedad) cautioned
  4. 88'
    Yellow Card
    J. Martin (Real Sociedad) cautioned
  5. 86'
    Yellow Card
    B. Turrientes (Real Sociedad) cautioned
  6. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: J. Aramburu replaces A. Elustondo
  7. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: A. Almeida replaces U. Nunez
  8. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: G. Guedes replaces O. Oskarsson
  9. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: U. Sadiq replaces H. Duro
  10. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: T. Rendall replaces F. Ugrinic
  11. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: L. Ramazani replaces L. Rioja
  12. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: Pepelu replaces D. Lopez
  13. 70'
    Red Card
    E. Comert (Valencia) sent off with a straight red card
  14. 63'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Sociedad by O. Oskarsson, assisted by M. Oyarzabal
    2-3
  15. 60'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Sociedad by C. Tarrega (o.g.)
    2-2
  16. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: S. Gomez replaces A. Munoz
  17. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: M. Oyarzabal replaces A. Zakharyan
  18. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: L. Sucic replaces B. Mendez
  19. 25'
    Yellow Card
    A. Zakharyan (Real Sociedad) cautioned
  20. 22'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Valencia by H. Duro, assisted by E. Comert
    2-1
  21. 8'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Valencia by J. Guerra, assisted by D. Lopez
    1-1
  22. 3'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Sociedad by A. Munoz, assisted by A. Elustondo
    0-1

Real Sociedad vs. Valencia: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Real Sociedad vs. Valencia
  • Date: Sunday, May 17, 2026
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Anoeta

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Real Sociedad +145, Valencia +210, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-105/-110)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Real Sociedad: 42.5%
  • Valencia: 31.4%
  • Draw: 26.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Real Sociedad 1-1 Valencia (12.4%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Real Sociedad vs. Valencia? Prediction & correct score

Real Sociedad is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 42.5%.

The most likely correct score is Real Sociedad 1-1 Valencia.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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