Real Oviedo vs. Alaves Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Real Oviedo vs. Alaves La Liga match on May 17, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Alaves
1
0
May 17, 1:00 PM ET Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
Real Oviedo
May 17, 1:00 PM ET Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
Real OviedoOVI
Score Summary
AlavesALA
T. Martinez (17')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Real Oviedo
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Alaves
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
Yusi (Alaves) cautioned
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: C. Protesoni replaces J. Guridi
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Oviedo: N. Vidal replaces L. Ahijado
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: L. Boye replaces T. Martinez
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Oviedo: A. Fores replaces F. Vinas
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Oviedo: T. Borbas replaces H. Hassan
71'
Yellow Card
L. Ahijado (Oviedo) cautioned
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Manas replaces I. Diabate
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: P. Ibanez replaces D. Suarez
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Oviedo: I. Chaira replaces S. Colombatto
65'
Yellow Card
F. Vinas (Oviedo) cautioned
48'
Yellow Card
T. Fernandez (Oviedo) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Oviedo: T. Fernandez replaces N. Fonseca
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: Yusi replaces A. Rebbach
17'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Alaves by T. Martinez, assisted by A. Rebbach
1-0

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Real Oviedo vs. Alaves: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Real Oviedo vs. Alaves
  • Date: Sunday, May 17, 2026
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Real Oviedo +300, Alaves +105, draw +230
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+138/-157)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Real Oviedo: 28.4%
  • Alaves: 45.0%
  • Draw: 26.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Real Oviedo 1-1 Alaves (12.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Real Oviedo vs. Alaves? Prediction & correct score

Alaves is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 45.0%.

The most likely correct score is Real Oviedo 1-1 Alaves.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Real Oviedo vs. Alaves, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.