Atletico Madrid vs. Girona Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Atletico Madrid vs. Girona La Liga match on May 17, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Girona
0
1
Metropolitano Stadium
Atletico Madrid
Metropolitano Stadium
Atletico MadridATM
Score Summary
GironaGIR
A. Lookman (21')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Atletico Madrid
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Girona
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 85'
    Yellow Card
    J. Morcillo (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
  2. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Girona: D. Lopez replaces A. Martinez
  3. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Girona: C. Echeverri replaces J. Roca
  4. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: C. Lenglet replaces A. Lookman
  5. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Sorloth replaces A. Baena
  6. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: J. Morcillo replaces O. Vargas
  7. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Girona: C. Stuani replaces B. Gil
  8. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Girona: F. Beltran replaces A. Witsel
  9. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: T. Almada replaces G. Simeone
  10. 23'
    Yellow Card
    R. Le Normand (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
  11. 21'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by A. Lookman, assisted by A. Griezmann
    0-1

Atletico Madrid vs. Girona: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Atletico Madrid vs. Girona
  • Date: Sunday, May 17, 2026
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Metropolitano Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Atletico Madrid -120, Girona +340, draw +305
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-160/+130)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Atletico Madrid: 54.5%
  • Girona: 22.5%
  • Draw: 23.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Atletico Madrid 1-1 Girona (10.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Atletico Madrid vs. Girona? Prediction & correct score

Atletico Madrid is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 54.5%.

The most likely correct score is Atletico Madrid 1-1 Girona.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

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