Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid in the World Cup on April 11, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
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Atletico Madrid
1
2
Apr 11, 7PM
Sevilla
Apr 11, 7PM
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
SevillaSEV
Score Summary
Atletico MadridATM
A. Adams (pen.) (10')
Soccer ball icon
N. Gudelj (45')
Soccer ball icon
J. Bonar (35')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SEV
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
ATM
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: B. Mendy replaces A. Adams
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: G. Suazo replaces J. Sanchez
90'
Yellow Card
J. Morcillo (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
Peque (Sevilla) cautioned
88'
Yellow Card
N. Gudelj (Sevilla) cautioned
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: J. Monserrate replaces J. Diaz
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: A. Sanchez replaces R. Vargas
75'
Yellow Card
A. Baena (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
75'
Yellow Card
A. Griezmann (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Lookman replaces R. Belaid
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: J. Morcillo replaces R. Mendoza
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: D. Sow replaces M. Bueno
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: Peque replaces I. Romero
67'
Yellow Card
J. Sanchez (Sevilla) cautioned
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sevilla by N. Gudelj, assisted by R. Vargas
1-2
44'
Yellow Card
J. Diaz (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
37'
Yellow Card
M. Bueno (Sevilla) cautioned
35'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by J. Bonar, assisted by J. Diaz
1-1
10'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sevilla by A. Adams (pen.)
0-1

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Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid: World Cup prediction & analysis

Dimers' Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid prediction is powered by a data-driven model built specifically for World Cup matches. The model projects how many goals each team is expected to score, then converts those projections into probabilities and picks across major betting markets.

Our coverage includes predictions, bets and odds for moneyline, over/under, double chance, both teams to score (BTTS), win to nil, and correct score.

The model factors in team attacking and defensive performance, recent form, opponent strength, tournament history, match location and expected player involvement to deliver consistent insights across every World Cup match.

Match overview

  • Teams: Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid
  • Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Tournament: FIFA World Cup

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Sevilla +125, Atletico Madrid +230, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-115/+100)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Sevilla: 38.6%
  • Atletico Madrid: 34.9%
  • Draw: 26.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' international soccer ratings system, designed to help bettors navigate World Cup predictions with greater confidence and clarity.

Correct score

The most likely correct score for this match is Sevilla 1-1 Atletico Madrid.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction

Sevilla is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 38.6%.

For full access to Dimers' World Cup best bets and to find out who will win the World Cup, unlock the complete experience with Dimers Pro.

Summary

Dimers' Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid prediction aims to turn World Cup chaos into clarity. Our coverage is grounded in repeatable logic, data-driven analysis, and consistent tournament-wide modeling—not headlines or hunches.

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