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Girona vs. Rayo Vallecano Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Girona vs. Rayo Vallecano at the La Liga on August 15, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
Rayo Vallecano
3
1
Aug 15, 5PM Estadi Municipal de Montilivi (Girona)
Girona
Aug 15, 5PM Estadi Municipal de Montilivi (Girona)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
GironaGIR
Score Summary
Rayo VallecanoRVC
P. Gazzaniga (43')
Red Card icon
J. Roca (57')
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J. de Frutos (18')
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A. Garcia (20')
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I. Palazon (pen.) (45')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
GIR
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
RVC
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Pacha replaces A. Garcia
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: O. Valentin replaces U. Lopez
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: R. Nteka replaces J. de Frutos
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: T. Lemar replaces Y. Herrera
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: G. Gumbau replaces P. Diaz
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: H. Rincon replaces A. Martinez
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: Vitor Reis replaces D. Blind
57'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Girona by J. Roca, assisted by V. Tsygankov
3-1
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: Portu replaces Y. Asprilla
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: P. Fernandez replaces Luiz Felipe
45'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: V. Krapyvtsov replaces B. Miovski
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by I. Palazon (pen.)
3-0
43'
Red Card
P. Gazzaniga (Girona) sent off with a straight red card
20'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by A. Garcia, assisted by J. de Frutos
2-0
18'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by J. de Frutos
1-0
15'
Yellow Card
Luiz Felipe (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned

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Girona vs. Rayo Vallecano: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Girona vs. Rayo Vallecano prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Girona vs. Rayo Vallecano
  • Date: Friday, August 15, 2025
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Girona +145, Rayo Vallecano +220, draw +220
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+124/-152)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Girona: 44.3%
  • Rayo Vallecano: 28.9%
  • Draw: 26.7%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Girona 1-1 Rayo Vallecano, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Girona is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 44.3% probability, while Rayo Vallecano sits at 28.9%, with the draw at 26.7%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Girona vs. Rayo Vallecano prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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