Athletic Bilbao vs. Sevilla Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Athletic Bilbao vs. Sevilla La Liga match on August 17, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Sevilla
2
3
Aug 17, 1:30 PM ET Estadio de San Mamés (Bilbao)
Athletic Bilbao
Aug 17, 1:30 PM ET Estadio de San Mamés (Bilbao)
Athletic BilbaoBIL
Score Summary
SevillaSEV
N. Williams (pen.) (36')
Soccer ball icon
M. Sannadi (43')
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R. Navarro (81')
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D. Lukebakio (60')
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L. Agoume (72')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Athletic Bilbao
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Sevilla
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: I. Romero replaces D. Sow
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Rego replaces N. Williams
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Gorosabel replaces J. Areso
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: Marcao replaces N. Gudelj
81'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by R. Navarro, assisted by N. Williams
2-3
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: M. Vesga replaces I. Ruiz de Galarreta
72'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sevilla by L. Agoume, assisted by A. Adams
2-2
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: A. Januzaj replaces Castrin
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: R. Navarro replaces A. Berenguer
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: G. Guruzeta replaces M. Sannadi
60'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sevilla by D. Lukebakio, assisted by J. Sanchez
1-2
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: C. Ejuke replaces S. Idumbo
43'
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Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by M. Sannadi
0-2
37'
Yellow Card
L. Agoume (Sevilla) cautioned
36'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by N. Williams (pen.)
0-1
6'
Yellow Card
Castrin (Sevilla) cautioned

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Athletic Bilbao vs. Sevilla: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Athletic Bilbao vs. Sevilla
  • Date: Sunday, August 17, 2025
  • Time: 1:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de San Mamés

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Athletic Bilbao -167, Sevilla +550, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+128/-150)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Athletic Bilbao: 57.3%
  • Sevilla: 17.8%
  • Draw: 24.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Sevilla (15.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs. Sevilla? Prediction & correct score

Athletic Bilbao is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 57.3%.

The most likely correct score is Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Sevilla.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

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