Real Madrid vs. Alaves Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Real Madrid vs. Alaves in the World Cup on September 24, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
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Alaves
2
3
Sep 24, 7PM Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)
Real Madrid
Sep 24, 7PM Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
Real MadridRMA
Score Summary
AlavesALA
Lucas (1')
Soccer ball icon
K. Mbappe (40')
Soccer ball icon
Rodrygo (48')
Soccer ball icon
C. Benavidez (85')
Soccer ball icon
K. Garcia (86')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
RMA
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
ALA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: F. Garcia replaces Vinicius Junior
90'
Yellow Card
L. Modric (Real Madrid) cautioned
86'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Alaves by K. Garcia, assisted by C. Benavidez
2-3
85'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Alaves by C. Benavidez, assisted by A. Guevara
1-3
83'
Yellow Card
Endrick (Real Madrid) cautioned
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: A. Guler replaces K. Mbappe
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: J. Vallejo replaces E. Militao
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Pica replaces M. Sanchez
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: K. Garcia replaces A. Villalibre
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: L. Modric replaces F. Valverde
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: Endrick replaces Rodrygo
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Rebbach replaces L. Romero
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Guevara replaces A. Blanco
48'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Madrid by Rodrygo, assisted by Lucas
0-3
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: J. Guridi replaces A. Abqar
40'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Madrid by K. Mbappe, assisted by J. Bellingham
0-2
30'
Yellow Card
Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid) cautioned
4'
Yellow Card
F. Valverde (Real Madrid) cautioned
1'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Madrid by Lucas, assisted by Vinicius Junior
0-1

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Real Madrid vs. Alaves: World Cup prediction & analysis

Dimers' Real Madrid vs. Alaves prediction is powered by a data-driven model built specifically for World Cup matches. The model projects how many goals each team is expected to score, then converts those projections into probabilities and picks across major betting markets.

Our coverage includes predictions, bets and odds for moneyline, over/under, double chance, both teams to score (BTTS), win to nil, and correct score.

The model factors in team attacking and defensive performance, recent form, opponent strength, tournament history, match location and expected player involvement to deliver consistent insights across every World Cup match.

Match overview

  • Teams: Real Madrid vs. Alaves
  • Date: Tuesday, September 24, 2024
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
  • Tournament: FIFA World Cup

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Real Madrid -625, Alaves +1800, draw +700

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Real Madrid: 74.6%
  • Alaves: 9.6%
  • Draw: 15.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' international soccer ratings system, designed to help bettors navigate World Cup predictions with greater confidence and clarity.

Correct score

The most likely correct score for this match is Real Madrid 2-0 Alaves.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction

Real Madrid is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 74.6%.

For full access to Dimers' World Cup best bets and to find out who will win the World Cup, unlock the complete experience with Dimers Pro.

Summary

Dimers' Real Madrid vs. Alaves prediction aims to turn World Cup chaos into clarity. Our coverage is grounded in repeatable logic, data-driven analysis, and consistent tournament-wide modeling—not headlines or hunches.

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