Athletic Bilbao vs. Celta Vigo Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Athletic Bilbao vs. Celta Vigo in the World Cup on September 22, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
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Celta Vigo
1
3
Sep 22, 2:15PM San Mamés Barria (Bilbao)
Athletic Bilbao
Sep 22, 2:15PM San Mamés Barria (Bilbao)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
Athletic BilbaoBIL
Score Summary
Celta VigoRCC
G. Guruzeta (4')
Soccer ball icon
G. Guruzeta (39')
Soccer ball icon
A. Djalo (80')
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I. Aspas (pen.) (25')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
BIL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
RCC
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
86'
Yellow Card
I. Moriba (Celta Vigo) cautioned
80'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by A. Djalo, assisted by I. Williams
1-3
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Djalo replaces G. Guruzeta
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: U. Gomez replaces A. Berenguer
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: B. Iglesias replaces A. Douvikas
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: W. Swedberg replaces H. Alvarez
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: I. Ruiz de Galarreta replaces M. Jauregizar
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: I. Lekue replaces A. Boiro
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: C. Dominguez replaces Jailson
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: I. Moriba replaces H. Sotelo
52'
Yellow Card
B. Prados Diaz (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
50'
Yellow Card
H. Sotelo (Celta Vigo) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Padilla replaces J. Agirrezabala
39'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by G. Guruzeta, assisted by A. Berenguer
1-2
37'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
30'
Yellow Card
A. Paredes (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
25'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Celta Vigo by I. Aspas (pen.)
1-1
20'
Yellow Card
A. Berenguer (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
5'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: M. Alonso replaces O. Mingueza
4'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by G. Guruzeta
0-1

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Athletic Bilbao vs. Celta Vigo: World Cup prediction & analysis

Dimers' Athletic Bilbao vs. Celta Vigo prediction is powered by a data-driven model built specifically for World Cup matches. The model projects how many goals each team is expected to score, then converts those projections into probabilities and picks across major betting markets.

Our coverage includes predictions, bets and odds for moneyline, over/under, double chance, both teams to score (BTTS), win to nil, and correct score.

The model factors in team attacking and defensive performance, recent form, opponent strength, tournament history, match location and expected player involvement to deliver consistent insights across every World Cup match.

Match overview

  • Teams: Athletic Bilbao vs. Celta Vigo
  • Date: Sunday, September 22, 2024
  • Time: 10:15 AM ET
  • Venue: San Mamés Barria
  • Tournament: FIFA World Cup

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Athletic Bilbao -130, Celta Vigo +400, draw +265
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-110/-103)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Athletic Bilbao: 53.1%
  • Celta Vigo: 22.2%
  • Draw: 24.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' international soccer ratings system, designed to help bettors navigate World Cup predictions with greater confidence and clarity.

Correct score

The most likely correct score for this match is Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Celta Vigo.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction

Athletic Bilbao is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 53.1%.

For full access to Dimers' World Cup best bets and to find out who will win the World Cup, unlock the complete experience with Dimers Pro.

Summary

Dimers' Athletic Bilbao vs. Celta Vigo prediction aims to turn World Cup chaos into clarity. Our coverage is grounded in repeatable logic, data-driven analysis, and consistent tournament-wide modeling—not headlines or hunches.

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