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Athletic Bilbao vs. Alaves Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Athletic Bilbao vs. Alaves La Liga game on May 11, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LA LIGA
Alaves
0
1
May 11, 4:30PM San Mamés Barria (Bilbao)
Athletic Bilbao
May 11, 4:30PM San Mamés Barria (Bilbao)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Athletic BilbaoBIL
Score Summary
AlavesALA
M. Sanchez (o.g.) (71')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
BIL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
ALA
0.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityAlavesAthletic BilbaoDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityAlavesAthletic BilbaoHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
A. Guevara (Alaves) cautioned
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: M. Vesga replaces I. Ruiz de Galarreta
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: I. Lekue replaces M. Sannadi
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: P. Cabanes replaces J. Guridi
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: C. Protesoni replaces C. Alena
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: C. Martin replaces A. Blanco
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: N. Tenaglia replaces M. Sanchez
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Villalibre replaces T. Martinez
71'
Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by M. Sanchez (o.g.)
0-1
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: O. Sancet replaces P. Canales
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: U. Gomez replaces A. Olabarrieta
55'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: G. Guruzeta replaces A. Djalo
33'
Yellow Card
A. Djalo (Ath Bilbao) cautioned

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Athletic Bilbao vs. Alaves: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Athletic Bilbao vs. Alaves
  • Date: Sunday, May 11, 2025
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: San Mamés Barria

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Athletic Bilbao +115, Alaves +400, Draw +220

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Athletic Bilbao: 48.9%
  • Alaves: 22.0%
  • Draw: 29.1%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this La Liga game is Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Alaves, which has a correct score probability of 17%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Athletic Bilbao a win probability of 48.9%, while Alaves has a win probability of 22.0%. The chance of a draw is 29.1%.

Summary

Our Athletic Bilbao vs. Alaves predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert La Liga predictions and the best La Liga bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes La Liga futures, La Liga odds, and the latest La Liga news.

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