Athletic Bilbao vs. Rayo Vallecano Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Athletic Bilbao vs. Rayo Vallecano in the World Cup on April 13, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
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Rayo Vallecano
1
3
Apr 13, 7PM San Mamés Barria (Bilbao)
Athletic Bilbao
Apr 13, 7PM San Mamés Barria (Bilbao)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
Athletic BilbaoBIL
Score Summary
Rayo VallecanoRVC
O. Sancet (pen.) (58')
Soccer ball icon
N. Williams (80')
Soccer ball icon
O. Sancet (90')
Soccer ball icon
P. Ciss (37')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
BIL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
RVC
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by O. Sancet, assisted by M. Sannadi
1-3
87'
Yellow Card
I. Williams (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: R. de Tomas replaces P. Ciss
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: I. Palazon replaces Pacha
84'
Yellow Card
A. Boiro (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
80'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by N. Williams, assisted by I. Ruiz de Galarreta
1-2
75'
Yellow Card
U. Lopez (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: N. Williams replaces A. Berenguer
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: A. Embarba replaces J. de Frutos
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: O. Valentin replaces P. Diaz
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: U. Lopez replaces G. Gumbau
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: I. Williams replaces A. Djalo
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: I. Ruiz de Galarreta replaces B. Prados Diaz
58'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by O. Sancet (pen.)
1-1
57'
Yellow Card
Pacha (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
50'
Yellow Card
P. Diaz (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: M. Sannadi replaces G. Guruzeta
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: O. Sancet replaces U. Gomez
37'
Penalty missed by P. Diaz for Rayo Vallecano
37'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by P. Ciss
1-0
36'
Yellow Card
D. Vivian (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
12'
Yellow Card
A. Djalo (Ath Bilbao) cautioned

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Athletic Bilbao vs. Rayo Vallecano: World Cup prediction & analysis

Dimers' Athletic Bilbao vs. Rayo Vallecano prediction is powered by a data-driven model built specifically for World Cup matches. The model projects how many goals each team is expected to score, then converts those projections into probabilities and picks across major betting markets.

Our coverage includes predictions, bets and odds for moneyline, over/under, double chance, both teams to score (BTTS), win to nil, and correct score.

The model factors in team attacking and defensive performance, recent form, opponent strength, tournament history, match location and expected player involvement to deliver consistent insights across every World Cup match.

Match overview

  • Teams: Athletic Bilbao vs. Rayo Vallecano
  • Date: Sunday, April 13, 2025
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: San Mamés Barria
  • Tournament: FIFA World Cup

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Athletic Bilbao -120, Rayo Vallecano +425, draw +225
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+150/-185)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Athletic Bilbao: 53.0%
  • Rayo Vallecano: 20.1%
  • Draw: 26.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' international soccer ratings system, designed to help bettors navigate World Cup predictions with greater confidence and clarity.

Correct score

The most likely correct score for this match is Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Rayo Vallecano.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction

Athletic Bilbao is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 53.0%.

For full access to Dimers' World Cup best bets and to find out who will win the World Cup, unlock the complete experience with Dimers Pro.

Summary

Dimers' Athletic Bilbao vs. Rayo Vallecano prediction aims to turn World Cup chaos into clarity. Our coverage is grounded in repeatable logic, data-driven analysis, and consistent tournament-wide modeling—not headlines or hunches.

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