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Atletico Madrid vs. Valladolid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Atletico Madrid vs. Valladolid La Liga game on April 14, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LA LIGA
Valladolid
2
4
Apr 14, 7PM Riyadh Air Metropolitano (Madrid)
Atletico Madrid
Apr 14, 7PM Riyadh Air Metropolitano (Madrid)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Atletico MadridATM
Score Summary
ValladolidVLL
J. Alvarez (pen.) (25')
G. Simeone (27')
J. Alvarez (pen.) (71')
A. Sorloth (79')
M. Sylla (pen.) (21')
J. Sanchez (56')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ATM
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
VLL
0.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityValladolidAtletico MadridDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityValladolidAtletico MadridHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Valladolid: S. Amallah replaces Anuar
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Valladolid: A. Ndiaye replaces F. Grillitsch
79'
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by A. Sorloth
2-4
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: T. Lemar replaces G. Simeone
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Valladolid: I. Sanchez replaces Chuki
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Valladolid: R. Moro replaces D. Machis
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Valladolid: T. Nikitscher replaces S. Juric
71'
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by J. Alvarez (pen.)
2-3
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: N. Molina replaces C. Gallagher
63'
Yellow Card
Anuar (Valladolid) cautioned
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: R. Le Normand replaces C. Lenglet
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: R. Riquelme replaces Koke
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Sorloth replaces A. Griezmann
56'
Goal scored for Valladolid by J. Sanchez
2-2
55'
Yellow Card
C. Lenglet (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
27'
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by G. Simeone, assisted by P. Barrios
1-2
25'
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by J. Alvarez (pen.)
1-1
21'
Goal scored for Valladolid by M. Sylla (pen.)
1-0

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Atletico Madrid vs. Valladolid: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Atletico Madrid vs. Valladolid
  • Date: Monday, April 14, 2025
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Atletico Madrid -1000, Valladolid +3500, Draw +900

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Atletico Madrid: 81.1%
  • Valladolid: 6.1%
  • Draw: 12.8%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this La Liga game is Atletico Madrid 2-0 Valladolid, which has a correct score probability of 13%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Atletico Madrid a win probability of 81.1%, while Valladolid has a win probability of 6.1%. The chance of a draw is 12.8%.

Summary

Our Atletico Madrid vs. Valladolid predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert La Liga predictions and the best La Liga bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes La Liga futures, La Liga odds, and the latest La Liga news.

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